Maldives vs Pakistan: prediction and stats
SAFF ChampionshipGroup Stage - 2Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 09:30 AM (UTC)National Football Stadium (Maldives), Malé, North Malé Atoll, Kaafu Atoll
The Footlab AI model makes Pakistan the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for Maldives. The most likely score is 1-1. If Pakistan wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,521 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 5, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Maldives vs Pakistan?
A very open match: only 19 Elo points separate Maldives (1,295) and Pakistan (1,314).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Maldives vs Pakistan
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Maldives
5-4-1- 23M. Hassan
- 21Ibrahim Waheed Hassan
- 16A. Rasheed
- 8I. Aisham
- 12A. Aiham
- 14Haisham Hassan
- 20H. Eenaaz
- 15A. Amdhan
- 2Ali Samooh
- 6Nisham Mohamed Rasheed
- 1Ibrahim Labaan Shareef
Pakistan
5-3-2- 8Abdul Arshad
- 13A. Khan
- 19Ali Uzair
- 10Alamgir Ghazi
- 15Umar Nawaz
- 4Abdullah Iqbal
- 5Easah Suliman
- 2M. Fazal
- 6A. Shah
- 13M. Ullah
- 1Y. Butt
Computed on November 5, 2026 at 08:05 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Maldives have 2 wins, 2 draws and 11 defeats; Pakistan have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 1, 2026 | Lebanon(home) | 0-6 | Friendlies |
| Sep 28, 2026 | Kyrgyzstan(away) | 0-5 | Friendlies |
| Sep 24, 2026 | China(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Bangladesh U23(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies |
| Jun 4, 2026 | Pakistan(home) | 0-3 | Friendlies |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2, 2026 | Vietnam(away) | 2-4 | FIFA Asean Cup |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Philippines(away) | 2-2 | FIFA Asean Cup |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Thailand(home) | 0-4 | FIFA Asean Cup |
| Jun 10, 2026 | Afghanistan(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Afghanistan(away) | 2-0 | Friendlies |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Maldives win, 0 draws, 1 Pakistan win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 4, 2026 | Maldives 0-3 Pakistan | Friendlies |
| Mar 21, 2023 | Maldives 1-0 Pakistan | Friendlies |
How many goals should we expect?
Maldives score 0.6 and concede 2.4 goals per match over their last 15; Pakistan score 0.9 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maldives | 0.6 | 2.4 | 1 | 5/15 | 9/15 |
| Pakistan | 0.9 | 1.8 | 5 | 4/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Maldives vs Pakistan?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Maldives vs Pakistan?
- The Footlab AI model makes Pakistan the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for Maldives.
- Where and when is Maldives vs Pakistan played?
- Maldives vs Pakistan is played on November 8, 2026 at 09:30 AM (UTC) at National Football Stadium (Maldives), in the SAFF Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.