India vs Nepal: result 1-2 and analysis
SAFF ChampionshipGroup Stage - 3Kick-off on September 5, 2013 at 09:45 AM (UTC)Jawaharlal Nehru Stadium, Shillong, Meghalaya
Full time
What was the result of India vs Nepal?
Nepal won 1-2 on September 5, 2013.
Goalscorers
- 70′A. GurungNepal
- 81′J. RaiNepal
- 90′104353India
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 8 matches in all competitions, India have 3 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats; Nepal have 2, 2 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 3, 2013 | Bangladesh(away) | 1-1 | SAFF Championship |
| Sep 1, 2013 | Pakistan(home) | 1-0 | SAFF Championship |
| Mar 6, 2013 | Myanmar(away) | 0-1 | AFC Challenge Cup |
| Mar 4, 2013 | Guam(away) | 4-0 | AFC Challenge Cup |
| Mar 2, 2013 | Chinese Taipei(home) | 2-1 | AFC Challenge Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 3, 2013 | Pakistan(away) | 1-1 | SAFF Championship |
| Aug 31, 2013 | Bangladesh(home) | 2-0 | SAFF Championship |
| Mar 6, 2013 | Palestine(home) | 0-0 | AFC Challenge Cup |
| Mar 4, 2013 | Bangladesh(away) | 0-2 | AFC Challenge Cup |
| Mar 2, 2013 | Northern Mariana Islands(home) | 6-0 | AFC Challenge Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
India score 1.4 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 8; Nepal score 1.8 and concede 0.6.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| India | 1.4 | 2.0 | 2 | 4/8 | 5/8 |
| Nepal | 1.8 | 0.6 | 3 | 1/5 | 1/5 |
Over the last 8 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy