Großbardorf vs ASV Neumarkt: prediction and stats
Oberliga - Bayern NordBayern Nord - 19Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Westphalen-Stadion, Großbardorf
The Footlab model makes Großbardorf the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for ASV Neumarkt. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Großbardorf vs ASV Neumarkt?
A very open match: only 23 Elo points separate Großbardorf (1,683) and ASV Neumarkt (1,706).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Großbardorf have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; ASV Neumarkt have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Ingolstadt II(home) | 0-3 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Bayern Hof(away) | 2-5 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Nordlingen(home) | 0-0 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Kornburg(away) | 0-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Jul 25, 2026 | ASV Neumarkt(away) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Stadeln(home) | 1-3 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Fortuna Regensburg(away) | 1-4 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Weiden(home) | 3-3 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Bayern Hof(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Kornburg(home) | 0-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Großbardorf win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 ASV Neumarkt win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 25, 2026 | ASV Neumarkt 0-1 Großbardorf | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Mar 11, 2023 | ASV Neumarkt 2-1 Großbardorf | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 6, 2022 | Großbardorf 1-2 ASV Neumarkt | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
Last archived meeting: ASV Neumarkt vs Großbardorf on Jul 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Großbardorf score 1.3 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; ASV Neumarkt score 1.3 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Großbardorf | 1.3 | 1.4 | 7 | 4/15 | 7/15 |
| ASV Neumarkt | 1.3 | 2.0 | 2 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | ASV Neumarkt | 32 | 18 | 5 | 9 | 68 | 50 | 59 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Großbardorf vs ASV Neumarkt?
- The Footlab model makes Großbardorf the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for ASV Neumarkt.
- Where and when is Großbardorf vs ASV Neumarkt played?
- Großbardorf vs ASV Neumarkt is played on November 14, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Westphalen-Stadion, in the Oberliga - Bayern Nord.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 13, 2026DJK BambergvsBayern Hof
- Nov 13, 2026NeudrossenfeldvsStadeln
- Nov 14, 2026Eintracht BambergvsFortuna Regensburg
- Nov 14, 2026Ingolstadt IIvsGebenbach
- Nov 14, 2026Würzburger FVvsViktoria Aschaffenburg
- Nov 14, 2026NordlingenvsJahn Regensburg II
- Nov 14, 2026AmmerthalvsKornburg
- Nov 14, 2026ChamvsWeiden