Cham vs Weiden: prediction and stats
Oberliga - Bayern NordBayern Nord - 19Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Kappenberger Sportzentrum, Cham
The Footlab model makes Cham the favourite at 59%, against 21% for a draw and 20% for Weiden. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cham vs Weiden?
Cham starts as the favourite with a 136-point Elo edge (1,878 vs 1,742).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cham have 10 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats; Weiden have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Viktoria Aschaffenburg(home) | 4-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Jahn Regensburg II(away) | 2-0 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Gebenbach(home) | 0-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Stadeln(away) | 3-0 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Fortuna Regensburg(home) | 2-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bayern Hof(away) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Kornburg(home) | 2-7 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 15, 2026 | ASV Neumarkt(away) | 3-3 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Ammerthal(home) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Jul 31, 2026 | DJK Bamberg(away) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Cham win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Weiden win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 24, 2026 | Weiden 0-1 Cham | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Apr 10, 2026 | Weiden 0-2 Cham | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Sep 26, 2025 | Cham 1-1 Weiden | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| May 2, 2025 | Cham 4-0 Weiden | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Oct 5, 2024 | Weiden 3-1 Cham | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Dec 3, 2022 | Cham 3-1 Weiden | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
How many goals should we expect?
Cham score 2.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Weiden score 1.7 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cham | 2.1 | 0.9 | 6 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Weiden | 1.7 | 1.9 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cham sit 2nd in Oberliga - Bayern Nord (62 points from 33 matches) and Weiden sit 6th (50 points from 32 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Cham | 33 | 18 | 8 | 7 | 62 | 35 | 62 |
| 6 | Weiden | 32 | 13 | 11 | 8 | 57 | 39 | 50 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cham vs Weiden?
- The Footlab model makes Cham the favourite at 59%, against 21% for a draw and 20% for Weiden.
- Where and when is Cham vs Weiden played?
- Cham vs Weiden is played on November 14, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Kappenberger Sportzentrum, in the Oberliga - Bayern Nord.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 13, 2026DJK BambergvsBayern Hof
- Nov 13, 2026NeudrossenfeldvsStadeln
- Nov 14, 2026Eintracht BambergvsFortuna Regensburg
- Nov 14, 2026GroßbardorfvsASV Neumarkt
- Nov 14, 2026Ingolstadt IIvsGebenbach
- Nov 14, 2026Würzburger FVvsViktoria Aschaffenburg
- Nov 14, 2026NordlingenvsJahn Regensburg II
- Nov 14, 2026AmmerthalvsKornburg