Cham vs Weiden: prediction and stats
Oberliga - Bayern NordBayern Nord - 19Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Kappenberger Sportzentrum, Cham
The Footlab AI model makes Cham the favourite at 62%, against 21% for a draw and 17% for Weiden. The most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,356 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cham vs Weiden?
Cham starts as the favourite with a 189-point Elo edge (1,934 vs 1,745).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Cham vs Weiden
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Cham
Not enough data to predict the Cham lineup.
Weiden
Not enough data to predict the Weiden lineup.
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 08:12 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cham have 12 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats; Weiden have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | DJK Bamberg(home) | 2-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Großbardorf(away) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Eintracht Bamberg(away) | 2-0 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Neudrossenfeld(home) | 3-0 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Ingolstadt II(away) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Würzburger FV(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Viktoria Aschaffenburg(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Jahn Regensburg II(away) | 1-3 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Gebenbach(home) | 1-3 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Stadeln(away) | 3-0 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Cham wins, 1 draw, 1 Weiden win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 24, 2026 | Weiden 0-1 Cham | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Apr 10, 2026 | Weiden 0-2 Cham | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Sep 26, 2025 | Cham 1-1 Weiden | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| May 2, 2025 | Cham 4-0 Weiden | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Oct 5, 2024 | Weiden 3-1 Cham | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Dec 3, 2022 | Cham 3-1 Weiden | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
How many goals should we expect?
Cham score 2.1 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Weiden score 1.5 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cham | 2.1 | 0.7 | 7 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
| Weiden | 1.5 | 2.3 | 2 | 12/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cham sit 2nd in Oberliga - Bayern Nord (62 points from 33 matches) and Weiden sit 6th (50 points from 32 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Cham | 33 | 18 | 8 | 7 | 62 | 35 | 62 |
| 6 | Weiden | 32 | 13 | 11 | 8 | 57 | 39 | 50 |
A question about Cham vs Weiden?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cham vs Weiden?
- The Footlab AI model makes Cham the favourite at 62%, against 21% for a draw and 17% for Weiden.
- Where and when is Cham vs Weiden played?
- Cham vs Weiden is played on November 14, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Kappenberger Sportzentrum, in the Oberliga - Bayern Nord.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 13, 2026DJK BambergvsBayern Hof
- Nov 13, 2026NeudrossenfeldvsStadeln
- Nov 14, 2026Eintracht BambergvsFortuna Regensburg
- Nov 14, 2026GroßbardorfvsASV Neumarkt
- Nov 14, 2026Ingolstadt IIvsGebenbach
- Nov 14, 2026Würzburger FVvsViktoria Aschaffenburg
- Nov 14, 2026NordlingenvsJahn Regensburg II
- Nov 14, 2026AmmerthalvsKornburg