Nyva Ternopil vs Viktoriya Mykolaivka: prediction and stats
Persha LigaRegular Season - 23Kick-off on April 17, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Ternopilskyi miskyi stadion im. Romana Shukhevycha, Ternopil
The Footlab model makes Viktoriya Mykolaivka the favourite at 45%, against 30% for a draw and 25% for Nyva Ternopil. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Nyva Ternopil vs Viktoriya Mykolaivka?
Viktoriya Mykolaivka starts as the favourite with a 114-point Elo edge (1,687 vs 1,572).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nyva Ternopil have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Viktoriya Mykolaivka have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bukovyna(home) | 0-4 | Cup |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Inhulets(away) | 2-1 | Persha Liga |
| Aug 7, 2026 | UCSA(away) | 0-1 | Persha Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | SK Poltava(away) | 1-1 | Persha Liga |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Oleksandria(away) | 1-1 | Persha Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Podillya Khmelnytskyi(away) | 3-1 | Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kulykiv(home) | 2-1 | Persha Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Lokomotiv Kyiv(away) | 1-0 | Persha Liga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Kolos Kovalivka II(home) | 2-0 | Persha Liga |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Yarud Mariupol'(away) | 1-0 | Persha Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Nyva Ternopil win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Viktoriya Mykolaivka win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2026 | Viktoriya Mykolaivka 1-0 Nyva Ternopil | Persha Liga |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Nyva Ternopil 2-1 Viktoriya Mykolaivka | Persha Liga |
| May 30, 2025 | Viktoriya Mykolaivka 3-0 Nyva Ternopil | Persha Liga |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Nyva Ternopil 0-0 Viktoriya Mykolaivka | Persha Liga |
| Jul 18, 2018 | Viktoriya Mykolaivka 2-1 Nyva Ternopil | Cup |
Last archived meeting: Viktoriya Mykolaivka vs Nyva Ternopil on Apr 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Nyva Ternopil score 0.7 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Viktoriya Mykolaivka score 1.5 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 38% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nyva Ternopil | 0.7 | 1.4 | 2 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Viktoriya Mykolaivka | 1.5 | 0.7 | 7 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Nyva Ternopil sit 8th in Persha Liga (5 points from 4 matches) and Viktoriya Mykolaivka sit 1st (12 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Viktoriya Mykolaivka | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 12 |
| 8 | Nyva Ternopil | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Nyva Ternopil vs Viktoriya Mykolaivka?
- The Footlab model makes Viktoriya Mykolaivka the favourite at 45%, against 30% for a draw and 25% for Nyva Ternopil.
- Where and when is Nyva Ternopil vs Viktoriya Mykolaivka played?
- Nyva Ternopil vs Viktoriya Mykolaivka is played on April 17, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Ternopilskyi miskyi stadion im. Romana Shukhevycha, in the Persha Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 38% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.