Chernihiv vs Metal Kharkiv: prediction and stats
Persha LigaRegular Season - 24Kick-off on April 24, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Yunist, Chernihiv
The Footlab AI model makes Chernihiv the favourite at 53%, against 27% for a draw and 20% for Metal Kharkiv. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 3,253 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Chernihiv vs Metal Kharkiv?
On Elo ratings, Chernihiv has 1,683 points and Metal Kharkiv 1,701.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Chernihiv vs Metal Kharkiv
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Chernihiv
4-3-3- 12E. Kartushov
- 11A. Novikov
- 21D. Bezborodko
- 6Y. Shalfeev
- 44D. Plakhtyr
- 55A. Romanchenko
- 20D. Fateev
- 2E. Galstyan
- 23O. Zenchenko
- 38P. Shushko
- 35M. Tatarenko
Metal Kharkiv
4-3-3- 19D. Kaydalov
- 6D. Tepliakov
- 8K. Digtyar
- 10M. Bagachanskyi
- 11O. Tsvirenko
- 29Yegor Abramov
- 20D. Vernattus
- 17D. Prykhodko
- 31B. Porokh
- 14K. Vlaga
- 35P. Pletnyov
Computed on October 24, 2026 at 01:54 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chernihiv have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Metal Kharkiv have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Viktoriya Mykolaivka(away) | 1-2 | Persha Liga |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Prykarpattia(away) | 1-0 | Persha Liga |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Trostianets(away) | 4-2 | Cup |
| Oct 2, 2026 | SK Poltava(away) | 2-3 | Persha Liga |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Metal Kharkiv(away) | 0-2 | Persha Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2026 | Yarud Mariupol'(home) | 0-2 | Persha Liga |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Ahrobiznes Volochysk(away) | 0-1 | Persha Liga |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Viktoriya Mykolaivka(home) | 2-2 | Persha Liga |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Prykarpattia(away) | 0-0 | Persha Liga |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Chernihiv(home) | 2-0 | Persha Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Chernihiv win, 1 draw, 3 Metal Kharkiv wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 27, 2026 | Metal Kharkiv 2-0 Chernihiv | Persha Liga |
| May 26, 2026 | Chernihiv 1-2 Metal Kharkiv | Persha Liga |
| Apr 7, 2026 | Metal Kharkiv 2-1 Chernihiv | Persha Liga |
| May 25, 2024 | Metal Kharkiv 1-1 Chernihiv | Persha Liga |
| Apr 21, 2024 | Chernihiv 2-1 Metal Kharkiv | Persha Liga |
Last archived meeting: Metal Kharkiv vs Chernihiv on Sep 27, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Chernihiv score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Metal Kharkiv score 1.0 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chernihiv | 1.3 | 1.5 | 2 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
| Metal Kharkiv | 1.0 | 1.1 | 5 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Chernihiv sit 14th in Persha Liga (10 points from 11 matches) and Metal Kharkiv sit 10th (15 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Metal Kharkiv | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 16 | 15 |
| 14 | Chernihiv | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 16 | 10 |
A question about Chernihiv vs Metal Kharkiv?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Chernihiv vs Metal Kharkiv?
- The Footlab AI model makes Chernihiv the favourite at 53%, against 27% for a draw and 20% for Metal Kharkiv.
- Where and when is Chernihiv vs Metal Kharkiv played?
- Chernihiv vs Metal Kharkiv is played on April 24, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Yunist, in the Persha Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.