Where and when is Gölcükspor vs Karadeniz Ereğli BSK played?

Gölcükspor vs Karadeniz Ereğli BSK is played on December 20, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Gölcük İhsaniye Stadı, in the 3. Lig - Group 1.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Gölcükspor vs Karadeniz Ereğli BSK: prediction and stats

3. Lig - Group 13. Lig Group 1 - 17Kick-off on December 20, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Gölcük İhsaniye Stadı, Gölcük

Gölcükspor

Karadeniz Ereğli BSK

The Footlab model makes Karadeniz Ereğli BSK the favourite at 39%, against 29% for a draw and 32% for Gölcükspor. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Gölcükspor vs Karadeniz Ereğli BSK?

Karadeniz Ereğli BSK starts as the favourite with a 141-point Elo edge (1,628 vs 1,487).

Gölcükspor win32 %

Draw29 %

Karadeniz Ereğli BSK win39 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gölcükspor have 5 wins, 1 draws and 9 defeats; Karadeniz Ereğli BSK have 10, 1 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Gölcükspor
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Nov 1, 2023	Arnavutköy Belediyespor(away)	1-2	Türkiye Kupası
Oct 10, 2023	Bursaspor(away)	2-1	Türkiye Kupası
Sep 27, 2023	Bartınspor(home)	3-0	Türkiye Kupası
Sep 17, 2023	Gebzespor(home)	2-0	Türkiye Kupası
May 1, 2021	Arhavispor(home)	5-2	3. Lig - Group 3

Karadeniz Ereğli BSK
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Apr 28, 2026	Yozgat Bld Bozokspor(home)	0-3	3. Lig - Play-offs
Apr 24, 2026	Yozgat Bld Bozokspor(away)	0-1	3. Lig - Play-offs
Apr 18, 2026	Orduspor 1967(home)	5-3	3. Lig - Group 3
Apr 12, 2026	1926 Bulancak(away)	0-1	3. Lig - Group 3
Apr 5, 2026	Çayelispor(home)	1-0	3. Lig - Group 3

How many goals should we expect?

Gölcükspor score 1.6 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Karadeniz Ereğli BSK score 1.2 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Gölcükspor	1.6	1.6	2	10/15	10/15
Karadeniz Ereğli BSK	1.2	0.9	8	3/15	5/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Gölcükspor vs Karadeniz Ereğli BSK?: The Footlab model makes Karadeniz Ereğli BSK the favourite at 39%, against 29% for a draw and 32% for Gölcükspor.
Where and when is Gölcükspor vs Karadeniz Ereğli BSK played?: Gölcükspor vs Karadeniz Ereğli BSK is played on December 20, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Gölcük İhsaniye Stadı, in the 3. Lig - Group 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.