Düzcespor vs Yalova Yeşilovaspor: prediction and stats
3. Lig - Group 13. Lig Group 1 - 17Kick-off on December 20, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)18 Temmuz Stadyumu, Düzce
The Footlab model makes Düzcespor the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Yalova Yeşilovaspor. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Düzcespor vs Yalova Yeşilovaspor?
A very open match: only 1 Elo points separate Düzcespor (1,546) and Yalova Yeşilovaspor (1,548).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Düzcespor have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Yalova Yeşilovaspor have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Tokat Bld Plevnespor(away) | 0-2 | 3. Lig - Group 3 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Yeni Orduspor(home) | 2-2 | 3. Lig - Group 3 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Giresunspor(away) | 0-2 | 3. Lig - Group 3 |
| Mar 29, 2026 | Pazarspor(home) | 1-0 | 3. Lig - Group 3 |
| Mar 25, 2026 | Fatsa Belediyespor(away) | 2-1 | 3. Lig - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | İnkılapspor(away) | 0-1 | 3. Lig - Group 1 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Çorluspor 1947(home) | 0-2 | 3. Lig - Group 1 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Etimesgut SK(away) | 0-2 | 3. Lig - Group 1 |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 1926 Polatlı Belediye(home) | 1-2 | 3. Lig - Group 1 |
| Mar 24, 2026 | Nilüfer Belediye(away) | 2-3 | 3. Lig - Group 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Düzcespor score 0.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Yalova Yeşilovaspor score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Düzcespor | 0.7 | 1.3 | 4 | 4/15 | 5/15 |
| Yalova Yeşilovaspor | 1.1 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Yalova Yeşilovaspor | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 38 | 36 | 37 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Düzcespor vs Yalova Yeşilovaspor?
- The Footlab model makes Düzcespor the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Yalova Yeşilovaspor.
- Where and when is Düzcespor vs Yalova Yeşilovaspor played?
- Düzcespor vs Yalova Yeşilovaspor is played on December 20, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at 18 Temmuz Stadyumu, in the 3. Lig - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 20, 2026Zonguldak KömürsporvsGalata
- Dec 20, 2026Fatsa BelediyesporvsKartal Bulvarspor
- Dec 20, 2026GölcüksporvsKaradeniz Ereğli BSK
- Dec 20, 2026PazarsporvsBeykoz Anadolu
- Dec 20, 2026Tokat Bld PlevnesporvsSilivrispor
- Dec 20, 2026Küçükçekmece SinopsporvsOrduspor 1967
- Dec 20, 2026Beykoz İshaklısporvsAmasyaspor 1968
- Dec 20, 2026İnkılapsporvsKarabük İdman Yurdu