Where and when is İnkılapspor vs Tokat Bld Plevnespor played?

İnkılapspor vs Tokat Bld Plevnespor is played on October 4, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Anadolu Hisarı Akademi Stadı, in the 3. Lig - Group 1.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

İnkılapspor vs Tokat Bld Plevnespor: prediction and stats

3. Lig - Group 13. Lig Group 1 - 5Kick-off on October 4, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Anadolu Hisarı Akademi Stadı, İstanbul

İnkılapspor

Tokat Bld Plevnespor

The Footlab model makes İnkılapspor the favourite at 38%, against 29% for a draw and 34% for Tokat Bld Plevnespor. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win İnkılapspor vs Tokat Bld Plevnespor?

A very open match: only 27 Elo points separate İnkılapspor (1,510) and Tokat Bld Plevnespor (1,537).

İnkılapspor win38 %

Draw29 %

Tokat Bld Plevnespor win34 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, İnkılapspor have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Tokat Bld Plevnespor have 5, 4 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

İnkılapspor
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Apr 18, 2026	Yalova Yeşilovaspor(home)	1-0	3. Lig - Group 1
Apr 12, 2026	Edirnespor(away)	0-2	3. Lig - Group 1
Apr 5, 2026	Çankaya FK(home)	0-5	3. Lig - Group 1
Mar 29, 2026	Bursa Yıldırımspor(away)	0-2	3. Lig - Group 1
Mar 25, 2026	İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik(home)	3-1	3. Lig - Group 1

Tokat Bld Plevnespor
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Apr 18, 2026	Düzcespor(home)	2-0	3. Lig - Group 3
Apr 12, 2026	Yozgat Bld Bozokspor(away)	0-2	3. Lig - Group 3
Apr 5, 2026	Yeni Orduspor(away)	0-6	3. Lig - Group 3
Mar 29, 2026	Giresunspor(home)	2-0	3. Lig - Group 3
Mar 25, 2026	Pazarspor(away)	0-0	3. Lig - Group 3

How many goals should we expect?

İnkılapspor score 0.8 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Tokat Bld Plevnespor score 1.1 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
İnkılapspor	0.8	1.2	5	6/15	4/15
Tokat Bld Plevnespor	1.1	1.2	7	4/15	5/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
12	İnkılapspor	30	7	14	9	23	36	35

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for İnkılapspor vs Tokat Bld Plevnespor?: The Footlab model makes İnkılapspor the favourite at 38%, against 29% for a draw and 34% for Tokat Bld Plevnespor.
Where and when is İnkılapspor vs Tokat Bld Plevnespor played?: İnkılapspor vs Tokat Bld Plevnespor is played on October 4, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Anadolu Hisarı Akademi Stadı, in the 3. Lig - Group 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.