Orduspor 1967 vs Fatsa Belediyespor: prediction and stats
3. Lig - Group 13. Lig Group 1 - 5Kick-off on October 4, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Yeni Ordu Stadyumu, Ordu
The Footlab model makes Orduspor 1967 the favourite at 37%, against 26% for a draw and 37% for Fatsa Belediyespor. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Orduspor 1967 vs Fatsa Belediyespor?
A very open match: only 8 Elo points separate Orduspor 1967 (1,544) and Fatsa Belediyespor (1,536).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Orduspor 1967 have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Fatsa Belediyespor have 4, 1 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Karadeniz Ereğli BSK(away) | 3-5 | 3. Lig - Group 3 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Sebat Gençlikspor(home) | 1-3 | 3. Lig - Group 3 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Yozgat Bld Bozokspor(away) | 0-2 | 3. Lig - Group 3 |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 1926 Bulancak(away) | 1-0 | 3. Lig - Group 3 |
| Mar 24, 2026 | Çayelispor(home) | 1-3 | 3. Lig - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 28, 2026 | Yeni Orduspor(away) | 1-4 | 3. Lig - Play-offs |
| Apr 24, 2026 | Yeni Orduspor(home) | 1-3 | 3. Lig - Play-offs |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Çayelispor(home) | 5-1 | 3. Lig - Group 3 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Amasyaspor 1968(away) | 0-1 | 3. Lig - Group 3 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Karabük İdman Yurdu(home) | 2-3 | 3. Lig - Group 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Orduspor 1967 win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Fatsa Belediyespor win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2026 | Fatsa Belediyespor 3-0 Orduspor 1967 | 3. Lig - Group 3 |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Orduspor 1967 0-1 Fatsa Belediyespor | 3. Lig - Group 3 |
Last archived meeting: Fatsa Belediyespor vs Orduspor 1967 on Jan 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Orduspor 1967 score 1.1 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Fatsa Belediyespor score 1.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orduspor 1967 | 1.1 | 1.8 | 5 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Fatsa Belediyespor | 1.1 | 1.7 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Orduspor 1967 vs Fatsa Belediyespor?
- The Footlab model makes Orduspor 1967 the favourite at 37%, against 26% for a draw and 37% for Fatsa Belediyespor.
- Where and when is Orduspor 1967 vs Fatsa Belediyespor played?
- Orduspor 1967 vs Fatsa Belediyespor is played on October 4, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Yeni Ordu Stadyumu, in the 3. Lig - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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