Zonguldak Kömürspor vs Düzcespor: prediction and stats
3. Lig - Group 13. Lig Group 1 - 5Kick-off on October 4, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Karaelmas Kemal Köksal Stadyumu, Zonguldak
The Footlab model makes Zonguldak Kömürspor the favourite at 59%, against 25% for a draw and 16% for Düzcespor. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Zonguldak Kömürspor vs Düzcespor?
A very open match: only 70 Elo points separate Zonguldak Kömürspor (1,617) and Düzcespor (1,546).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Zonguldak Kömürspor have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Düzcespor have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Yeni Orduspor(away) | 4-3 | 3. Lig - Group 3 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Giresunspor(home) | 0-0 | 3. Lig - Group 3 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Pazarspor(away) | 3-3 | 3. Lig - Group 3 |
| Mar 29, 2026 | Fatsa Belediyespor(home) | 2-1 | 3. Lig - Group 3 |
| Mar 25, 2026 | Artvin Hopaspor(away) | 1-2 | 3. Lig - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Tokat Bld Plevnespor(away) | 0-2 | 3. Lig - Group 3 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Yeni Orduspor(home) | 2-2 | 3. Lig - Group 3 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Giresunspor(away) | 0-2 | 3. Lig - Group 3 |
| Mar 29, 2026 | Pazarspor(home) | 1-0 | 3. Lig - Group 3 |
| Mar 25, 2026 | Fatsa Belediyespor(away) | 2-1 | 3. Lig - Group 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 3 Zonguldak Kömürspor win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Düzcespor win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2026 | Düzcespor 1-2 Zonguldak Kömürspor | 3. Lig - Group 3 |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Zonguldak Kömürspor 0-0 Düzcespor | 3. Lig - Group 3 |
| Jan 10, 2016 | Zonguldak Kömürspor 1-0 Düzcespor | 3. Lig - Group 1 |
| Aug 23, 2015 | Düzcespor 2-3 Zonguldak Kömürspor | 3. Lig - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Düzcespor vs Zonguldak Kömürspor on Feb 4, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Zonguldak Kömürspor score 1.6 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Düzcespor score 0.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zonguldak Kömürspor | 1.6 | 1.2 | 4 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Düzcespor | 0.7 | 1.3 | 4 | 4/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Zonguldak Kömürspor vs Düzcespor?
- The Footlab model makes Zonguldak Kömürspor the favourite at 59%, against 25% for a draw and 16% for Düzcespor.
- Where and when is Zonguldak Kömürspor vs Düzcespor played?
- Zonguldak Kömürspor vs Düzcespor is played on October 4, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Karaelmas Kemal Köksal Stadyumu, in the 3. Lig - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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