Inter Playa del Carmen vs Celaya: prediction and stats
Primera PremierRegular Season - 28Kick-off on April 11, 2027 at 12:00 AM (UTC)Unidad Deportiva Mario Villanueva Madrid, Playa del Carmen
The Footlab AI model makes Celaya the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Inter Playa del Carmen. The most likely score is 1-1. If Celaya wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,783 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Inter Playa del Carmen vs Celaya?
A very open match: only 88 Elo points separate Inter Playa del Carmen (1,875) and Celaya (1,964).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Inter Playa del Carmen vs Celaya
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Inter Playa del Carmen
Not enough data to predict the Inter Playa del Carmen lineup.
Celaya
Not enough data to predict the Celaya lineup.
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 08:06 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Inter Playa del Carmen have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Celaya have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Racing de Veracruz(home) | 0-1 | Primera Premier |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Jaguares de Chiapas(away) | 0-1 | Primera Premier |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Deportiva Venados(home) | 3-1 | Primera Premier |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Montañeses(away) | 2-3 | Primera Premier |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Chapulineros(home) | 0-0 | Primera Premier |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Racing de Veracruz(away) | 1-2 | Primera Premier |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Jaguares de Chiapas(home) | 0-1 | Primera Premier |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Deportiva Venados(away) | 2-2 | Primera Premier |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Montañeses(home) | 2-1 | Primera Premier |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Chapulineros(away) | 1-1 | Primera Premier |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Inter Playa del Carmen wins, 1 draw, 1 Celaya win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | Celaya 0-0 Inter Playa del Carmen | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Inter Playa del Carmen 0-2 Celaya | Liga Premier Serie A |
Last archived meeting: Celaya vs Inter Playa del Carmen on Mar 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Inter Playa del Carmen score 0.9 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Celaya score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inter Playa del Carmen | 0.9 | 1.4 | 6 | 4/15 | 7/15 |
| Celaya | 1.7 | 1.3 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Inter Playa del Carmen sit 16th in Primera Premier (4 points from 7 matches) and Celaya sit 6th (13 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Celaya | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 7 | 13 |
| 16 | Inter Playa del Carmen | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 4 |
A question about Inter Playa del Carmen vs Celaya?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Inter Playa del Carmen vs Celaya?
- The Footlab AI model makes Celaya the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Inter Playa del Carmen.
- Where and when is Inter Playa del Carmen vs Celaya played?
- Inter Playa del Carmen vs Celaya is played on April 11, 2027 at 12:00 AM (UTC) at Unidad Deportiva Mario Villanueva Madrid, in the Primera Premier.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.