Inter vs Lazio: prediction and stats
Serie ARegular Season - 37Kick-off on May 23, 2027 at 04:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Giuseppe Meazza, Milano
The Footlab AI model makes Inter the favourite at 60%, against 23% for a draw and 17% for Lazio. The most likely score is 1-1. If Inter wins, the most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,402 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Inter vs Lazio?
Inter starts as the favourite with a 180-point Elo edge (2,232 vs 2,051).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Inter vs Lazio
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Inter
3-5-2- 9M. Thuram
- 94F. Esposito
- 32F. Dimarco
- 17A. Diouf
- 20H. Çalhanoğlu
- 22H. Mkhitaryan
- 23N. Barella
- 31Y. Bisseck
- 30Carlos Augusto
- 95A. Bastoni
- 1Josep Martínez
Lazio
4-3-3- 10M. Zaccagni
- 14T. Noslin
- 11G. Isaksen
- 21R. Belahyane
- 24K. Taylor
- 16D. Frattesi
- 15R. Floriani Mussolini
- 25O. Provstgaard
- 5D. Doekhi
- 17Nuno Tavares
- 35C. Mandas
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 03:41 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Inter have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Lazio have 12, 2 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Club Brugge KV(home) | 3-4 | UEFA Champions League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Parma(home) | 3-0 | Serie A |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Lumezzane(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 19, 2026 | AS Roma(away) | 2-2 | Serie A |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Udinese(home) | 5-3 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Monza(home) | 3-1 | Serie A |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Juve Stabia(home) | 3-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Arezzo(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Venezia(away) | 2-0 | Serie A |
| Sep 12, 2026 | AC Milan(home) | 2-2 | Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Inter wins, 1 draw, 0 Lazio wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 13, 2026 | Lazio 0-2 Inter | Coppa Italia |
| May 9, 2026 | Lazio 0-3 Inter | Serie A |
| Nov 9, 2025 | Inter 2-0 Lazio | Serie A |
| May 18, 2025 | Inter 2-2 Lazio | Serie A |
| Feb 25, 2025 | Inter 2-0 Lazio | Coppa Italia |
| Dec 16, 2024 | Lazio 0-6 Inter | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Inter score 2.3 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Lazio score 2.5 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inter | 2.3 | 1.4 | 4 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Lazio | 2.5 | 1.0 | 6 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Inter sit 1st in Serie A (16 points from 6 matches) and Lazio sit 2nd (16 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 8 | 16 |
| 2 | Lazio | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 4 | 16 |
A question about Inter vs Lazio?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Inter vs Lazio?
- The Footlab AI model makes Inter the favourite at 60%, against 23% for a draw and 17% for Lazio.
- Where and when is Inter vs Lazio played?
- Inter vs Lazio is played on May 23, 2027 at 04:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Giuseppe Meazza, in the Serie A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.