Venezia vs AC Milan: prediction and stats
Serie ARegular Season - 37Kick-off on May 23, 2027 at 04:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Pierluigi Penzo, Venezia
The Footlab AI model makes AC Milan the favourite at 58%, against 24% for a draw and 18% for Venezia. The most likely score is 1-1. If AC Milan wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,481 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 4, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Venezia vs AC Milan?
AC Milan starts as the favourite with a 210-point Elo edge (2,206 vs 1,996).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Venezia vs AC Milan
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Venezia
3-5-2- 45A. Adams
- 29L. Lauberbach
- 18A. Hainaut
- 19S. Sohm
- 71Kike Pérez
- 21Þ. Helgason
- 70P. Mazzocchi
- 2M. Moreno
- 15Juan Jesus
- 25R. Halhal
- 1F. Stanković
AC Milan
3-4-2-1- 9Gonçalo Ramos
- 80Y. Musah
- 11C. Pulišić
- 14L. Modrić
- 13S. Bocoum
- 12A. Rabiot
- 22D. Moreira
- 31S. Pavlović
- 5K. De Winter
- 34Mario Gila
- 16M. Maignan
Computed on November 4, 2026 at 01:39 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Venezia have 3 wins, 1 draw and 11 defeats; AC Milan have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Como(away) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Inter(home) | 0-2 | Serie A |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Genoa(away) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Napoli(home) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Oct 12, 2026 | Atalanta(away) | 1-3 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Inter(home) | 3-1 | Serie A |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Bologna(home) | 2-4 | Serie A |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Udinese(away) | 2-0 | Serie A |
| Oct 22, 2026 | Bournemouth(away) | 0-3 | UEFA Europa League |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Atalanta(home) | 3-2 | Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 0 Venezia wins, 0 draws, 5 AC Milan wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 28, 2026 | AC Milan 2-0 Venezia | Serie A |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Venezia 0-2 AC Milan | Serie A |
| Sep 14, 2024 | AC Milan 4-0 Venezia | Serie A |
| Jan 9, 2022 | Venezia 0-3 AC Milan | Serie A |
| Sep 22, 2021 | AC Milan 2-0 Venezia | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Venezia score 1.2 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; AC Milan score 1.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Venezia | 1.2 | 2.0 | 2 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| AC Milan | 1.9 | 1.5 | 4 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Venezia sit 20th in Serie A (3 points from 10 matches) and AC Milan sit 5th (21 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | AC Milan | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 21 | 12 | 21 |
| 20 | Venezia | 10 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 6 | 20 | 3 |
A question about Venezia vs AC Milan?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Venezia vs AC Milan?
- The Footlab AI model makes AC Milan the favourite at 58%, against 24% for a draw and 18% for Venezia.
- Where and when is Venezia vs AC Milan played?
- Venezia vs AC Milan is played on May 23, 2027 at 04:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Pierluigi Penzo, in the Serie A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.