Livingston vs Arbroath: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 32Kick-off on April 3, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Tony Macaroni Arena, Livingston
The Footlab AI model makes Livingston the favourite at 55%, against 26% for a draw and 19% for Arbroath. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,475 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Livingston vs Arbroath?
Livingston starts as the favourite with a 101-point Elo edge (1,753 vs 1,652).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Livingston vs Arbroath
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Livingston
4-3-3- 9R. Muirhead
- 19B. van Hoeven
- 7T. Sinclair
- 20E. Danso
- 8S. Pittman
- 16C. Palmer
- 23Brooklyn Kabongolo
- 22J. Doherty
- 5R. McGowan
- 26C. Montaño
- 28J. Prior
Arbroath
4-2-3-1- 9A. Winter
- 20S. Constable
- 25J. MacIntyre
- 11R. Dow
- 14M. McKenna
- 8R. Flynn
- 26S. Mackie
- 16C. Watson
- 22C. Dewar
- 6T. Beadling
- 1A. McAdams
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 10:31 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Livingston have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Arbroath have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Partick(home) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Ayr Utd(home) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Raith Rovers(away) | 2-0 | Championship |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Inverness CT(home) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Morton(away) | 4-1 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Morton(home) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Partick(away) | 0-3 | Championship |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Queen's Park(home) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Stenhousemuir(away) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Raith Rovers(away) | 0-4 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Livingston win, 0 draws, 1 Arbroath win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 29, 2026 | Arbroath 1-0 Livingston | Championship |
| Jul 5, 2021 | Livingston 4-0 Arbroath | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Arbroath vs Livingston on Aug 29, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Livingston score 1.9 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Arbroath score 0.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Livingston | 1.9 | 0.8 | 7 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Arbroath | 0.9 | 1.5 | 3 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Livingston sit 4th in Championship (13 points from 10 matches) and Arbroath sit 8th (11 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Livingston | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 11 | 13 |
| 8 | Arbroath | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 11 |
A question about Livingston vs Arbroath?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Livingston vs Arbroath?
- The Footlab AI model makes Livingston the favourite at 55%, against 26% for a draw and 19% for Arbroath.
- Where and when is Livingston vs Arbroath played?
- Livingston vs Arbroath is played on April 3, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Tony Macaroni Arena, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.