Ipswich vs Derby: result 1-0 and analysis
ChampionshipRegular Season - 22Kick-off on December 17, 2011 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Portman Road, Ipswich, Suffolk
Full time
What was the result of Ipswich vs Derby?
Ipswich won 1-0 on December 17, 2011.
Goalscorers
- 46′Keith AndrewsIpswich
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ipswich have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Derby have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 10, 2011 | Barnsley(away) | 5-3 | Championship |
| Dec 3, 2011 | Watford(home) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Nov 29, 2011 | Burnley(away) | 0-4 | Championship |
| Nov 26, 2011 | Reading(home) | 2-3 | Championship |
| Nov 19, 2011 | Nottingham Forest(away) | 2-3 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 10, 2011 | Bristol City(home) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Dec 2, 2011 | Crystal Palace(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Nov 29, 2011 | Brighton(home) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Nov 26, 2011 | West Ham(away) | 1-3 | Championship |
| Nov 19, 2011 | Hull City(home) | 0-2 | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Ipswich score 1.5 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Derby score 1.2 and concede 1.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ipswich | 1.5 | 1.9 | 4 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Derby | 1.2 | 1.7 | 1 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Derby | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy