Iraklis Larissa vs Ermis Exochi: prediction and stats
Gamma Ethniki - Group 4Group 4 - 15Kick-off on January 10, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Dimotiko Gipedo Neapolis, Larissa
The Footlab AI model makes Ermis Exochi the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Iraklis Larissa. The most likely score is 1-1. If Ermis Exochi wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 4,601 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 6, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Iraklis Larissa vs Ermis Exochi?
Ermis Exochi starts as the favourite with a 122-point Elo edge (1,647 vs 1,526).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Iraklis Larissa vs Ermis Exochi
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Iraklis Larissa
4-3-3- 90F. Keri
- 95D. Casas
- 9O. Syrengelas
- 3K. Kamperis
- 31S. Gougoudis
- 25L. Bossio
- 4A. Galitsios
- 80D. Tasioulis
- 46G. Lagonidis
- 13M. Giannitsis
- 1S. Farmakis
Ermis Exochi
Not enough data to predict the Ermis Exochi lineup.
Computed on November 6, 2026 at 06:54 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Iraklis Larissa have 1 win, 4 draws and 10 defeats; Ermis Exochi have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Feraios(away) | 0-2 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Elassona(home) | 1-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Ermis Exochi(away) | 1-4 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou(home) | 0-3 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Trikala(home) | 0-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Sarakinos(away) | 1-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Iraklis Larissa(home) | 4-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Feraios(away) | 1-2 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Elassona(home) | 3-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Anthoupoli(away) | 1-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Iraklis Larissa wins, 0 draws, 1 Ermis Exochi win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Ermis Exochi 4-1 Iraklis Larissa | Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 |
Last archived meeting: Ermis Exochi vs Iraklis Larissa on Oct 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Iraklis Larissa score 0.5 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Ermis Exochi score 1.7 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iraklis Larissa | 0.5 | 1.9 | 4 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Ermis Exochi | 1.7 | 1.2 | 5 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Iraklis Larissa sit 10th in Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 (0 points from 2 matches) and Ermis Exochi sit 3rd (4 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Ermis Exochi | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 4 |
| 10 | Iraklis Larissa | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
A question about Iraklis Larissa vs Ermis Exochi?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Iraklis Larissa vs Ermis Exochi?
- The Footlab AI model makes Ermis Exochi the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Iraklis Larissa.
- Where and when is Iraklis Larissa vs Ermis Exochi played?
- Iraklis Larissa vs Ermis Exochi is played on January 10, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Dimotiko Gipedo Neapolis, in the Gamma Ethniki - Group 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.