Iraklis Therm. vs Mpam: prediction and stats
Gamma Ethniki - Group 2Group 2 - 19Kick-off on February 7, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Iraklis Therm. the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for Mpam. The most likely score is 1-1. If Iraklis Therm. wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,855 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 20, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Iraklis Therm. vs Mpam?
Iraklis Therm. starts as the favourite with a 120-point Elo edge (1,701 vs 1,581).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Iraklis Therm. vs Mpam
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Iraklis Therm.
Not enough data to predict the Iraklis Therm. lineup.
Mpam
Not enough data to predict the Mpam lineup.
Computed on October 20, 2026 at 04:49 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Iraklis Therm. have 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats; Mpam have 2, 2 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Akrites Sykeon(home) | 1-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | PAO Kristoni(away) | 0-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Panedessaikos(home) | 2-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Agiou Nikolaou(away) | 1-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 |
| Apr 8, 2026 | Xanthi FC(home) | 0-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Kilkisiakos(away) | 4-4 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Akrites Sykeon(home) | 3-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | PAO Kristoni(home) | 3-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Panedessaikos(away) | 1-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Iraklis Therm. score 1.1 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Mpam score 2.8 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iraklis Therm. | 1.1 | 0.5 | 9 | 4/15 | 3/15 |
| Mpam | 2.8 | 1.8 | 0 | 4/4 | 3/4 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Iraklis Therm. vs Mpam?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Iraklis Therm. vs Mpam?
- The Footlab AI model makes Iraklis Therm. the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for Mpam.
- Where and when is Iraklis Therm. vs Mpam played?
- Iraklis Therm. vs Mpam is played on February 7, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC), in the Gamma Ethniki - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.