Iraklis Yerolakkou vs Ayia Napa: prediction and stats
2. DivisionRegular Season - 2Kick-off on September 18, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Gipedo PAEEK Keryneia Epistrofi, Strovolos
The Footlab model makes Iraklis Yerolakkou the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Ayia Napa. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Iraklis Yerolakkou vs Ayia Napa?
A very open match: only 2 Elo points separate Iraklis Yerolakkou (1,563) and Ayia Napa (1,561).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Iraklis Yerolakkou have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Ayia Napa have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Halkanoras(away) | 0-0 | 2. Division |
| Apr 21, 2026 | APEA(home) | 0-2 | 2. Division |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Digenis Morphou(away) | 0-1 | 2. Division |
| Mar 21, 2026 | AE Zakakiou(home) | 4-1 | 2. Division |
| Mar 18, 2026 | Ethnikos Latsion(away) | 0-0 | 2. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Doxa(away) | 3-0 | 2. Division |
| Apr 19, 2026 | PAEEK(home) | 6-3 | 2. Division |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Nea Salamis(away) | 0-3 | 2. Division |
| Mar 21, 2026 | ASIL Lysi(home) | 5-5 | 2. Division |
| Mar 18, 2026 | Karmiotissa(away) | 0-3 | 2. Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Iraklis Yerolakkou win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Ayia Napa win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2025 | Iraklis Yerolakkou 2-4 Ayia Napa | 2. Division |
Last archived meeting: Iraklis Yerolakkou vs Ayia Napa on Oct 18, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Iraklis Yerolakkou score 1.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Ayia Napa score 1.5 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iraklis Yerolakkou | 1.1 | 0.9 | 5 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Ayia Napa | 1.5 | 2.1 | 3 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Iraklis Yerolakkou sit 13th in 2. Division (37 points from 14 matches) and Ayia Napa sit 6th (41 points from 14 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Ayia Napa | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 22 | 28 | 41 |
| 13 | Iraklis Yerolakkou | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 16 | 11 | 37 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Iraklis Yerolakkou vs Ayia Napa?
- The Footlab model makes Iraklis Yerolakkou the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Ayia Napa.
- Where and when is Iraklis Yerolakkou vs Ayia Napa played?
- Iraklis Yerolakkou vs Ayia Napa is played on September 18, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Gipedo PAEEK Keryneia Epistrofi, in the 2. Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.