Irao vs Merani Tbilisi: prediction and stats
Liga 3Regular Season - 30Kick-off on December 4, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Irao the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for Merani Tbilisi. The most likely score is 1-1. If Irao wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 4,741 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 7, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Irao vs Merani Tbilisi?
A very open match: only 43 Elo points separate Irao (1,326) and Merani Tbilisi (1,283).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Irao vs Merani Tbilisi
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Irao
Not enough data to predict the Irao lineup.
Merani Tbilisi
Not enough data to predict the Merani Tbilisi lineup.
Computed on November 7, 2026 at 04:22 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Irao have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Merani Tbilisi have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2026 | Dinamo Tbilisi II(home) | 1-1 | Liga 3 |
| Oct 16, 2026 | Gonio(away) | 0-1 | Liga 3 |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Saburtalo II(home) | 3-3 | Liga 3 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Lokomotivi Tbilisi(away) | 0-2 | Liga 3 |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Iberia 2010(away) | 2-3 | Liga 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2026 | Gonio(away) | 0-3 | Liga 3 |
| Oct 23, 2026 | Saburtalo II(home) | 0-4 | Liga 3 |
| Oct 16, 2026 | Lokomotivi Tbilisi(away) | 2-1 | Liga 3 |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Iveria Khashuri(home) | 2-2 | Liga 3 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Iberia 2010(away) | 2-2 | Liga 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Irao wins, 1 draw, 2 Merani Tbilisi wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 21, 2026 | Merani Tbilisi 1-1 Irao | Liga 3 |
| Nov 6, 2025 | Irao 2-0 Merani Tbilisi | Liga 3 |
| Jun 3, 2025 | Merani Tbilisi 4-3 Irao | Liga 3 |
| Oct 4, 2024 | Irao 1-5 Merani Tbilisi | Liga 3 |
| Apr 11, 2024 | Merani Tbilisi 1-2 Irao | Liga 3 |
Last archived meeting: Merani Tbilisi vs Irao on Jun 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Irao score 1.3 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Merani Tbilisi score 1.5 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Irao | 1.3 | 1.7 | 3 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Merani Tbilisi | 1.5 | 2.0 | 3 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Irao sit 9th in Liga 3 (36 points from 26 matches) and Merani Tbilisi sit 5th (43 points from 26 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Merani Tbilisi | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 41 | 37 | 43 |
| 9 | Irao | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 41 | 32 | 36 |
A question about Irao vs Merani Tbilisi?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Irao vs Merani Tbilisi?
- The Footlab AI model makes Irao the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for Merani Tbilisi.
- Where and when is Irao vs Merani Tbilisi played?
- Irao vs Merani Tbilisi is played on December 4, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC), in the Liga 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.