Varketili vs Gardabani: prediction and stats
Liga 3Regular Season - 30Kick-off on December 4, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Varketili Stadium, Tbilisi
The Footlab AI model makes Varketili the favourite at 92%, against 6% for a draw and 2% for Gardabani. The most likely score is 3-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,608 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Varketili vs Gardabani?
Varketili is a heavy favourite: 1,479 Elo points against 1,100, a 379-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Varketili vs Gardabani
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Varketili
4-3-3- ZZ. Basilashvili
- LL. Shilakadze
- MM. Ramishvili
- GG. Shubitidze
- ZZ. Golubiani
- KK. Tsikalanovi
- GG. Bunturi
- BB. Mikeladze
- LL. Chikvaidze
- GG. Narimanidze
- GG. Kutateladze
Gardabani
Not enough data to predict the Gardabani lineup.
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 12:01 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Varketili have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Gardabani have 2, 2 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 17, 2026 | Gonio(away) | 0-1 | Liga 3 |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Lokomotivi Tbilisi(away) | 3-3 | Liga 3 |
| Aug 27, 2026 | Iveria Khashuri(home) | 5-0 | Liga 3 |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Iberia 2010(away) | 0-0 | Liga 3 |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Kolkheti Khobi(home) | 4-0 | Liga 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Iberia 2010(away) | 0-3 | Liga 3 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Margveti 2006(away) | 0-3 | Liga 3 |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Betlemi(home) | 2-1 | Liga 3 |
| Aug 27, 2026 | Merani Tbilisi(away) | 1-4 | Liga 3 |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Didube 2014(home) | 1-2 | Liga 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 3 Varketili wins, 1 draw, 1 Gardabani win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 21, 2026 | Gardabani 1-3 Varketili | Liga 3 |
| Sep 25, 2025 | Varketili 4-0 Gardabani | Liga 3 |
| Apr 24, 2025 | Gardabani 1-2 Varketili | Liga 3 |
| Sep 5, 2024 | Varketili 1-1 Gardabani | Liga 3 |
| Mar 14, 2024 | Gardabani 2-0 Varketili | Liga 3 |
Last archived meeting: Gardabani vs Varketili on Jun 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Varketili score 2.5 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; Gardabani score 0.7 and concede 3.1. The model gives a 77% probability of over 2.5 goals and 35% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Varketili | 2.5 | 0.6 | 8 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
| Gardabani | 0.7 | 3.1 | 1 | 8/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Varketili sit 2nd in Liga 3 (53 points from 24 matches) and Gardabani sit 14th (16 points from 24 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Varketili | 24 | 15 | 8 | 1 | 57 | 14 | 53 |
| 14 | Gardabani | 24 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 19 | 59 | 16 |
A question about Varketili vs Gardabani?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Varketili vs Gardabani?
- The Footlab AI model makes Varketili the favourite at 92%, against 6% for a draw and 2% for Gardabani.
- Where and when is Varketili vs Gardabani played?
- Varketili vs Gardabani is played on December 4, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Varketili Stadium, in the Liga 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 77% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.