Lokomotivi Tbilisi vs Iveria Khashuri: prediction and stats
Liga 3Regular Season - 30Kick-off on December 4, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Mikheil Meskhis sakhelobis Stadioni, Tbilisi
The Footlab model makes Lokomotivi Tbilisi the favourite at 61%, against 21% for a draw and 17% for Iveria Khashuri. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lokomotivi Tbilisi vs Iveria Khashuri?
Lokomotivi Tbilisi starts as the favourite with a 148-point Elo edge (1,370 vs 1,223).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lokomotivi Tbilisi have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Iveria Khashuri have 2, 6 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Gonio(home) | 4-0 | Liga 3 |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Saburtalo II(away) | 1-1 | Liga 3 |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Guria(away) | 1-0 | Liga 3 |
| Jun 26, 2026 | Basa(away) | 1-2 | David Kipiani Cup |
| Jun 21, 2026 | Iveria Khashuri(away) | 0-0 | Liga 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Dinamo Tbilisi II(home) | 2-5 | Liga 3 |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Gonio(away) | 1-1 | Liga 3 |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Saburtalo II(home) | 0-1 | Liga 3 |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Torpedo Kutaisi(home) | 1-3 | David Kipiani Cup |
| Jun 26, 2026 | Betlemi(home) | 5-4 | David Kipiani Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Lokomotivi Tbilisi win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Iveria Khashuri win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 21, 2026 | Iveria Khashuri 0-0 Lokomotivi Tbilisi | Liga 3 |
Last archived meeting: Iveria Khashuri vs Lokomotivi Tbilisi on Jun 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Lokomotivi Tbilisi score 1.2 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Iveria Khashuri score 1.2 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lokomotivi Tbilisi | 1.2 | 0.9 | 7 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Iveria Khashuri | 1.2 | 2.1 | 3 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lokomotivi Tbilisi sit 10th in Liga 3 (23 points from 18 matches) and Iveria Khashuri sit 14th (10 points from 18 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Lokomotivi Tbilisi | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 20 | 22 | 23 |
| 14 | Iveria Khashuri | 18 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 35 | 10 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lokomotivi Tbilisi vs Iveria Khashuri?
- The Footlab model makes Lokomotivi Tbilisi the favourite at 61%, against 21% for a draw and 17% for Iveria Khashuri.
- Where and when is Lokomotivi Tbilisi vs Iveria Khashuri played?
- Lokomotivi Tbilisi vs Iveria Khashuri is played on December 4, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Mikheil Meskhis sakhelobis Stadioni, in the Liga 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.