Iraq vs Bahrain: result 2-1 and analysis
Arab CupRound 1Kick-off on December 3, 2025 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Basra International Stadium, al-Baṣra (Basra)
Full time
What was the result of Iraq vs Bahrain?
Iraq won 2-1 on December 3, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 10′Ebrahim LutfallahIraq (o.g.)
- 25′Mohanad AliIraq
- 79′Sayed Hashim IssaBahrain
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Iraq have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Bahrain have 4, 1 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 18, 2025 | United Arab Emirates(home) | 2-1 | World Cup - Qualification Asia |
| Nov 13, 2025 | United Arab Emirates(away) | 1-1 | World Cup - Qualification Asia |
| Oct 14, 2025 | Saudi Arabia(away) | 0-0 | World Cup - Qualification Asia |
| Oct 11, 2025 | Indonesia(home) | 1-0 | World Cup - Qualification Asia |
| Sep 7, 2025 | Thailand(away) | 1-0 | King's Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 26, 2025 | Djibouti(home) | 1-0 | Arab Cup |
| Nov 21, 2025 | Somalia(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies |
| Nov 17, 2025 | Somalia(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies |
| Oct 12, 2025 | Egypt B(home) | 0-4 | Friendlies |
| Oct 9, 2025 | Morocco(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Iraq win(s), 5 draw(s), 1 Bahrain win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 25, 2024 | Bahrain 2-0 Iraq | Gulf Cup of Nations |
| Dec 3, 2021 | Bahrain 0-0 Iraq | Arab Cup |
| Dec 5, 2019 | Iraq 2-2 Bahrain | Gulf Cup of Nations |
| Nov 19, 2019 | Iraq 0-0 Bahrain | World Cup - Qualification Asia |
| Sep 5, 2019 | Bahrain 1-1 Iraq | World Cup - Qualification Asia |
| Dec 23, 2017 | Bahrain 1-1 Iraq | Gulf Cup of Nations |
How many goals should we expect?
Iraq score 0.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Bahrain score 0.7 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iraq | 0.9 | 0.9 | 7 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Bahrain | 0.7 | 1.3 | 3 | 4/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Iraq sit 2nd in Arab Cup (6 points from 3 matches) and Bahrain sit 3rd (3 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Iraq | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Bahrain | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 3 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy