Iraq vs North Korea: result 1-0 and analysis
Asian CupGroup stage - 3Kick-off on January 19, 2011 at 04:15 PM (UTC)Basra International Stadium, al-Baṣra (Basra)
Full time
What was the result of Iraq vs North Korea?
Iraq won 1-0 on January 19, 2011.
Goalscorers
- 22′Karrar Jassim Mohammed Al MahmodiIraq
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 5 matches in all competitions, Iraq have 1 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; North Korea have 0, 1 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2011 | United Arab Emirates(away) | 1-0 | Asian Cup |
| Jan 11, 2011 | Iran(home) | 1-2 | Asian Cup |
| Jun 20, 2009 | New Zealand(home) | 0-0 | Confederations Cup |
| Jun 17, 2009 | Spain(away) | 0-1 | Confederations Cup |
| Jun 14, 2009 | South Africa(away) | 0-0 | Confederations Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2011 | Iran(away) | 0-1 | Asian Cup |
| Jan 11, 2011 | United Arab Emirates(home) | 0-0 | Asian Cup |
| Jun 25, 2010 | Ivory Coast(home) | 0-3 | World Cup |
| Jun 21, 2010 | Portugal(away) | 0-7 | World Cup |
| Jun 15, 2010 | Brazil(away) | 1-2 | World Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Iraq score 0.4 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 5; North Korea score 0.2 and concede 2.6.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iraq | 0.4 | 0.6 | 3 | 1/5 | 1/5 |
| North Korea | 0.2 | 2.6 | 1 | 1/5 | 3/5 |
Over the last 5 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy