İskenderunspor vs Ankara Demirspor: prediction and stats
2. Lig2. Lig Red Group - 25Kick-off on February 28, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Fuat Tosyalı Stadyumu, Hatay
The Footlab model makes İskenderunspor the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Ankara Demirspor. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win İskenderunspor vs Ankara Demirspor?
A very open match: only 91 Elo points separate İskenderunspor (1,723) and Ankara Demirspor (1,632).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, İskenderunspor have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Ankara Demirspor have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Ankaragücü(away) | 1-4 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Elazığspor(home) | 0-1 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Adana 01 FK(away) | 0-2 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 8, 2026 | 24 Erzincanspor(home) | 2-1 | 2. Lig |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Erbaaspor(away) | 0-2 | 2. Lig |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Güzide Gebzespor(home) | 2-2 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Kahramanmaraş İstiklal Spor(away) | 0-2 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Bursaspor(home) | 0-1 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 4, 2026 | 68 Aksaray Belediyespor(away) | 2-2 | 2. Lig |
| Mar 29, 2026 | Menemen FK(home) | 2-0 | 2. Lig |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 İskenderunspor win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Ankara Demirspor win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 25, 2023 | İskenderunspor 2-2 Ankara Demirspor | 2. Lig |
| Apr 15, 2023 | İskenderunspor 1-0 Ankara Demirspor | 2. Lig |
| Nov 5, 2022 | Ankara Demirspor 1-1 İskenderunspor | 2. Lig |
| Apr 5, 2017 | İskenderunspor 2-3 Ankara Demirspor | 3. Lig - Group 1 |
| Nov 23, 2016 | Ankara Demirspor 3-3 İskenderunspor | 3. Lig - Group 1 |
| Apr 12, 2015 | Ankara Demirspor 4-1 İskenderunspor | 3. Lig - Group 3 |
Last archived meeting: İskenderunspor vs Ankara Demirspor on May 25, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
İskenderunspor score 1.1 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Ankara Demirspor score 1.2 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| İskenderunspor | 1.1 | 1.4 | 3 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
| Ankara Demirspor | 1.2 | 1.5 | 5 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
İskenderunspor sit 8th in 2. Lig (56 points from 36 matches) and Ankara Demirspor sit 9th (49 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | İskenderunspor | 36 | 16 | 8 | 12 | 50 | 44 | 56 |
| 9 | Ankara Demirspor | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 47 | 47 | 49 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for İskenderunspor vs Ankara Demirspor?
- The Footlab model makes İskenderunspor the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Ankara Demirspor.
- Where and when is İskenderunspor vs Ankara Demirspor played?
- İskenderunspor vs Ankara Demirspor is played on February 28, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Fuat Tosyalı Stadyumu, in the 2. Lig.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.