Match

24 Erzincanspor vs Sakaryaspor: prediction and stats

2. Lig2. Lig Red Group - 25Kick-off on February 28, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)13 Şubat Şehir Stadyumu, Erzincan

24 ErzincansporSakaryaspor

The Footlab model makes 24 Erzincanspor the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Sakaryaspor. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win 24 Erzincanspor vs Sakaryaspor?

A very open match: only 40 Elo points separate 24 Erzincanspor (1,701) and Sakaryaspor (1,661).

24 Erzincanspor win47 %
Draw25 %
Sakaryaspor win28 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, 24 Erzincanspor have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Sakaryaspor have 2, 5 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

24 Erzincanspor
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 25, 2026Elazığspor(away)0-22. Lig
Apr 19, 2026Adana 01 FK(home)3-02. Lig
Apr 8, 2026İskenderunspor(away)1-22. Lig
Apr 4, 2026Erbaaspor(home)3-22. Lig
Mar 28, 2026İnegölspor(away)0-42. Lig
Sakaryaspor
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 1, 2026Manisa F.K.(away)0-51. Lig
Apr 26, 2026Çorum FK(home)0-41. Lig
Apr 18, 2026Hatayspor(away)1-11. Lig
Apr 13, 2026Esenler Erokspor(home)1-21. Lig
Apr 8, 2026Ümraniyespor(away)0-21. Lig

How many goals should we expect?

24 Erzincanspor score 1.9 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Sakaryaspor score 0.9 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
24 Erzincanspor1.91.265/1510/15
Sakaryaspor0.91.927/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1124 Erzincanspor3615615554951

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for 24 Erzincanspor vs Sakaryaspor?
The Footlab model makes 24 Erzincanspor the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Sakaryaspor.
Where and when is 24 Erzincanspor vs Sakaryaspor played?
24 Erzincanspor vs Sakaryaspor is played on February 28, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at 13 Şubat Şehir Stadyumu, in the 2. Lig.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: 24 Erzincanspor and Sakaryaspor

Ready to know everything about football?