Ankara Demirspor vs İskenderunspor: prediction and stats
2. Lig2. Lig Red Group - 8Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)TCDD Ankara Demirspor Stadı, Ankara
The Footlab model makes Ankara Demirspor the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for İskenderunspor. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ankara Demirspor vs İskenderunspor?
A very open match: only 91 Elo points separate Ankara Demirspor (1,632) and İskenderunspor (1,723).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ankara Demirspor have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; İskenderunspor have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Güzide Gebzespor(home) | 2-2 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Kahramanmaraş İstiklal Spor(away) | 0-2 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Bursaspor(home) | 0-1 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 4, 2026 | 68 Aksaray Belediyespor(away) | 2-2 | 2. Lig |
| Mar 29, 2026 | Menemen FK(home) | 2-0 | 2. Lig |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Ankaragücü(away) | 1-4 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Elazığspor(home) | 0-1 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Adana 01 FK(away) | 0-2 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 8, 2026 | 24 Erzincanspor(home) | 2-1 | 2. Lig |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Erbaaspor(away) | 0-2 | 2. Lig |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Ankara Demirspor win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 İskenderunspor win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 25, 2023 | İskenderunspor 2-2 Ankara Demirspor | 2. Lig |
| Apr 15, 2023 | İskenderunspor 1-0 Ankara Demirspor | 2. Lig |
| Nov 5, 2022 | Ankara Demirspor 1-1 İskenderunspor | 2. Lig |
| Apr 5, 2017 | İskenderunspor 2-3 Ankara Demirspor | 3. Lig - Group 1 |
| Nov 23, 2016 | Ankara Demirspor 3-3 İskenderunspor | 3. Lig - Group 1 |
| Apr 12, 2015 | Ankara Demirspor 4-1 İskenderunspor | 3. Lig - Group 3 |
Last archived meeting: İskenderunspor vs Ankara Demirspor on May 25, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Ankara Demirspor score 1.2 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; İskenderunspor score 1.1 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ankara Demirspor | 1.2 | 1.5 | 5 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
| İskenderunspor | 1.1 | 1.4 | 3 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ankara Demirspor sit 9th in 2. Lig (49 points from 34 matches) and İskenderunspor sit 8th (56 points from 36 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | İskenderunspor | 36 | 16 | 8 | 12 | 50 | 44 | 56 |
| 9 | Ankara Demirspor | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 47 | 47 | 49 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ankara Demirspor vs İskenderunspor?
- The Footlab model makes Ankara Demirspor the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for İskenderunspor.
- Where and when is Ankara Demirspor vs İskenderunspor played?
- Ankara Demirspor vs İskenderunspor is played on October 25, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at TCDD Ankara Demirspor Stadı, in the 2. Lig.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.