Ismaning vs Heimstetten: prediction and stats
Oberliga - Bayern SüdBayern Süd - 14Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Professor Erich Greipl Stadion, Ismaning
The Footlab model makes Ismaning the favourite at 49%, against 23% for a draw and 29% for Heimstetten. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ismaning vs Heimstetten?
A very open match: only 29 Elo points separate Ismaning (1,722) and Heimstetten (1,751).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ismaning have 7 wins, 1 draws and 7 defeats; Heimstetten have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Kirchanschöring(home) | 4-0 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Gundelfingen(away) | 5-0 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Aug 14, 2026 | 1880 Wasserburg(home) | 2-3 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Deisenhofen(away) | 0-2 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Landshut(home) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Hankofen-Hailing(home) | 0-4 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Schalding-Heining(home) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Schwabmünchen(away) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Jul 31, 2026 | TuS Geretsried(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Sportfreunde Schwaig(home) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Ismaning win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Heimstetten win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2025 | Heimstetten 3-0 Ismaning | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Jul 26, 2025 | Ismaning 1-1 Heimstetten | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Oct 26, 2024 | Ismaning 1-0 Heimstetten | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Jul 19, 2024 | Heimstetten 4-0 Ismaning | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Mar 28, 2024 | Heimstetten 3-2 Ismaning | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Sep 8, 2023 | Ismaning 1-1 Heimstetten | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
Last archived meeting: Heimstetten vs Ismaning on Nov 15, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Ismaning score 1.8 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Heimstetten score 1.6 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ismaning | 1.8 | 1.7 | 3 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
| Heimstetten | 1.6 | 1.5 | 5 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ismaning sit 12th in Oberliga - Bayern Süd (42 points from 32 matches) and Heimstetten sit 7th (51 points from 32 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Heimstetten | 32 | 14 | 9 | 9 | 64 | 46 | 51 |
| 12 | Ismaning | 32 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 50 | 58 | 42 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ismaning vs Heimstetten?
- The Footlab model makes Ismaning the favourite at 49%, against 23% for a draw and 29% for Heimstetten.
- Where and when is Ismaning vs Heimstetten played?
- Ismaning vs Heimstetten is played on October 10, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Professor Erich Greipl Stadion, in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 9, 2026ErlbachvsTuS Geretsried
- Oct 9, 20261860 RosenheimvsPipinsried
- Oct 9, 20261880 WasserburgvsPfaffenhofen
- Oct 10, 2026Kotternvs1860 München II
- Oct 10, 2026DeisenhofenvsHankofen-Hailing
- Oct 10, 2026LandshutvsSportfreunde Schwaig
- Oct 10, 2026KirchanschöringvsSchwabmünchen
- Oct 10, 2026GundelfingenvsSchalding-Heining