Landshut vs Sportfreunde Schwaig: prediction and stats
Oberliga - Bayern SüdBayern Süd - 14Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Landshut the favourite at 58%, against 23% for a draw and 19% for Sportfreunde Schwaig. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Landshut vs Sportfreunde Schwaig?
A very open match: only 25 Elo points separate Landshut (1,779) and Sportfreunde Schwaig (1,753).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 7 matches in all competitions, Landshut have 4 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats; Sportfreunde Schwaig have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Pipinsried(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Aug 18, 2026 | 1860 München II(home) | 6-2 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Kottern(away) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Aug 7, 2026 | 1860 Rosenheim(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Ismaning(away) | 1-3 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Erlbach(home) | 0-0 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Schwabmünchen(away) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Kirchanschöring(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Aug 8, 2026 | TuS Geretsried(away) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Gundelfingen(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
How many goals should we expect?
Landshut score 1.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 7; Sportfreunde Schwaig score 1.8 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Landshut | 1.9 | 1.1 | 2 | 5/7 | 3/7 |
| Sportfreunde Schwaig | 1.8 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 7 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Sportfreunde Schwaig | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 49 | 45 | 46 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Landshut vs Sportfreunde Schwaig?
- The Footlab model makes Landshut the favourite at 58%, against 23% for a draw and 19% for Sportfreunde Schwaig.
- Where and when is Landshut vs Sportfreunde Schwaig played?
- Landshut vs Sportfreunde Schwaig is played on October 10, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC), in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 9, 20261880 WasserburgvsPfaffenhofen
- Oct 9, 20261860 RosenheimvsPipinsried
- Oct 9, 2026ErlbachvsTuS Geretsried
- Oct 10, 2026IsmaningvsHeimstetten
- Oct 10, 2026DeisenhofenvsHankofen-Hailing
- Oct 10, 2026Kotternvs1860 München II
- Oct 10, 2026GundelfingenvsSchalding-Heining
- Oct 10, 2026KirchanschöringvsSchwabmünchen