Ismaning vs Sportfreunde Schwaig: prediction and stats
Oberliga - Bayern SüdBayern Süd - 26Kick-off on April 3, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Professor Erich Greipl Stadion, Ismaning
The Footlab model makes Ismaning the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 27% for Sportfreunde Schwaig. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ismaning vs Sportfreunde Schwaig?
A very open match: only 34 Elo points separate Ismaning (1,720) and Sportfreunde Schwaig (1,753).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ismaning have 7 wins, 1 draws and 7 defeats; Sportfreunde Schwaig have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Kirchanschöring(home) | 4-0 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Gundelfingen(away) | 5-0 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Aug 14, 2026 | 1880 Wasserburg(home) | 2-3 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Deisenhofen(away) | 0-2 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Landshut(home) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Erlbach(home) | 0-0 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Schwabmünchen(away) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Kirchanschöring(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Aug 8, 2026 | TuS Geretsried(away) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Gundelfingen(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Ismaning win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Sportfreunde Schwaig win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2026 | Sportfreunde Schwaig 0-1 Ismaning | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Aug 8, 2025 | Ismaning 0-1 Sportfreunde Schwaig | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
Last archived meeting: Sportfreunde Schwaig vs Ismaning on Mar 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ismaning score 1.8 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Sportfreunde Schwaig score 1.8 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ismaning | 1.8 | 1.7 | 3 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
| Sportfreunde Schwaig | 1.8 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ismaning sit 12th in Oberliga - Bayern Süd (42 points from 32 matches) and Sportfreunde Schwaig sit 9th (46 points from 33 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Sportfreunde Schwaig | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 49 | 45 | 46 |
| 12 | Ismaning | 32 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 50 | 58 | 42 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ismaning vs Sportfreunde Schwaig?
- The Footlab model makes Ismaning the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 27% for Sportfreunde Schwaig.
- Where and when is Ismaning vs Sportfreunde Schwaig played?
- Ismaning vs Sportfreunde Schwaig is played on April 3, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Professor Erich Greipl Stadion, in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 2, 2027Erlbachvs1860 Rosenheim
- Apr 2, 20271880 WasserburgvsPipinsried
- Apr 3, 2027PfaffenhofenvsSchalding-Heining
- Apr 3, 2027DeisenhofenvsHeimstetten
- Apr 3, 2027KirchanschöringvsKottern
- Apr 3, 2027Gundelfingenvs1860 München II
- Apr 3, 2027LandshutvsTuS Geretsried
- Apr 3, 2027Hankofen-HailingvsSchwabmünchen