Match

Erlbach vs 1860 Rosenheim: prediction and stats

Oberliga - Bayern SüdBayern Süd - 26Kick-off on April 2, 2027 at 04:30 PM (UTC)Waldstadion Erlbach, Erlbach

Erlbach1860 Rosenheim

The Footlab model makes Erlbach the favourite at 61%, against 23% for a draw and 16% for 1860 Rosenheim. The most likely score is 2-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Erlbach vs 1860 Rosenheim?

Erlbach starts as the favourite with a 249-point Elo edge (1,801 vs 1,553).

Erlbach win61 %
Draw23 %
1860 Rosenheim win16 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Erlbach have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; 1860 Rosenheim have 4, 5 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Erlbach
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Sportfreunde Schwaig(away)0-0Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Aug 18, 2026Kirchanschöring(away)1-0Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Aug 14, 2026Gundelfingen(home)1-1Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Aug 7, 20261880 Wasserburg(away)2-2Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Jul 31, 2026Deisenhofen(home)1-0Oberliga - Bayern Süd
1860 Rosenheim
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Gundelfingen(home)0-0Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Aug 18, 20261880 Wasserburg(away)0-2Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Aug 14, 2026Deisenhofen(home)6-0Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Aug 7, 2026Landshut(away)1-1Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Jul 31, 2026Hankofen-Hailing(home)2-2Oberliga - Bayern Süd

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Erlbach win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 1860 Rosenheim win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 25, 20231860 Rosenheim 0-2 ErlbachOberliga - Bayern Süd
Aug 19, 2022Erlbach 2-0 1860 RosenheimOberliga - Bayern Süd

Last archived meeting: 1860 Rosenheim vs Erlbach on Mar 25, 2023

How many goals should we expect?

Erlbach score 1.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; 1860 Rosenheim score 1.8 and concede 2.4. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Erlbach1.11.174/155/15
1860 Rosenheim1.82.457/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
5Erlbach3216511423553

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Erlbach vs 1860 Rosenheim?
The Footlab model makes Erlbach the favourite at 61%, against 23% for a draw and 16% for 1860 Rosenheim.
Where and when is Erlbach vs 1860 Rosenheim played?
Erlbach vs 1860 Rosenheim is played on April 2, 2027 at 04:30 PM (UTC) at Waldstadion Erlbach, in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Erlbach and 1860 Rosenheim

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