Sportfreunde Schwaig vs Ismaning: prediction and stats
Oberliga - Bayern SüdBayern Süd - 9Kick-off on September 3, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC)Sportanlage Schwaig Platz 1, Oberding
The Footlab model makes Sportfreunde Schwaig the favourite at 46%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Ismaning. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sportfreunde Schwaig vs Ismaning?
A very open match: only 34 Elo points separate Sportfreunde Schwaig (1,753) and Ismaning (1,720).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sportfreunde Schwaig have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Ismaning have 7, 1 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Erlbach(home) | 0-0 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Schwabmünchen(away) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Kirchanschöring(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Aug 8, 2026 | TuS Geretsried(away) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Gundelfingen(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Kirchanschöring(home) | 4-0 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Gundelfingen(away) | 5-0 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Aug 14, 2026 | 1880 Wasserburg(home) | 2-3 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Deisenhofen(away) | 0-2 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Landshut(home) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Sportfreunde Schwaig win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Ismaning win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2026 | Sportfreunde Schwaig 0-1 Ismaning | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Aug 8, 2025 | Ismaning 0-1 Sportfreunde Schwaig | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
Last archived meeting: Sportfreunde Schwaig vs Ismaning on Mar 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sportfreunde Schwaig score 1.8 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Ismaning score 1.8 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sportfreunde Schwaig | 1.8 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Ismaning | 1.8 | 1.7 | 3 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sportfreunde Schwaig sit 9th in Oberliga - Bayern Süd (46 points from 33 matches) and Ismaning sit 12th (42 points from 32 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Sportfreunde Schwaig | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 49 | 45 | 46 |
| 12 | Ismaning | 32 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 50 | 58 | 42 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sportfreunde Schwaig vs Ismaning?
- The Footlab model makes Sportfreunde Schwaig the favourite at 46%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Ismaning.
- Where and when is Sportfreunde Schwaig vs Ismaning played?
- Sportfreunde Schwaig vs Ismaning is played on September 3, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC) at Sportanlage Schwaig Platz 1, in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 4, 2026HeimstettenvsDeisenhofen
- Sep 4, 20261860 RosenheimvsErlbach
- Sep 4, 20261860 München IIvsGundelfingen
- Sep 5, 2026KotternvsKirchanschöring
- Sep 5, 2026Schalding-HeiningvsPfaffenhofen
- Sep 5, 2026SchwabmünchenvsHankofen-Hailing
- Sep 5, 2026TuS GeretsriedvsLandshut
- Sep 5, 2026Pipinsriedvs1880 Wasserburg