İstanbulspor vs Manisa F.K.: prediction and stats
1. LigRegular Season - 27Kick-off on February 21, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Esenyurt Necmi Kadıoğlu Stadyumu, İstanbul
The Footlab model makes İstanbulspor the favourite at 48%, against 24% for a draw and 27% for Manisa F.K.. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win İstanbulspor vs Manisa F.K.?
A very open match: only 10 Elo points separate İstanbulspor (1,812) and Manisa F.K. (1,822).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, İstanbulspor have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Manisa F.K. have 8, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Vanspor FK(away) | 2-3 | 1. Lig |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Bodrum FK(home) | 2-2 | 1. Lig |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Bandırmaspor(away) | 0-3 | 1. Lig |
| May 1, 2026 | Adana Demirspor(home) | 8-1 | 1. Lig |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Vanspor FK(away) | 3-1 | 1. Lig |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Sivasspor(away) | 2-2 | 1. Lig |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Vanspor FK(home) | 4-1 | 1. Lig |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Boluspor(away) | 2-1 | 1. Lig |
| May 1, 2026 | Sakaryaspor(home) | 5-0 | 1. Lig |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Keçiörengücü(away) | 1-2 | 1. Lig |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 İstanbulspor win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Manisa F.K. win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2026 | Manisa F.K. 1-0 İstanbulspor | 1. Lig |
| Aug 25, 2025 | İstanbulspor 1-1 Manisa F.K. | 1. Lig |
| Jan 19, 2025 | Manisa F.K. 0-1 İstanbulspor | 1. Lig |
| Aug 10, 2024 | İstanbulspor 3-2 Manisa F.K. | 1. Lig |
| Jan 9, 2022 | Manisa F.K. 1-2 İstanbulspor | 1. Lig |
| Aug 14, 2021 | İstanbulspor 3-4 Manisa F.K. | 1. Lig |
Last archived meeting: Manisa F.K. vs İstanbulspor on Jan 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
İstanbulspor score 1.7 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Manisa F.K. score 1.7 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| İstanbulspor | 1.7 | 1.6 | 1 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Manisa F.K. | 1.7 | 1.4 | 5 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
İstanbulspor sit 19th in 1. Lig (1 points from 3 matches) and Manisa F.K. sit 3rd (7 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Manisa F.K. | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 7 |
| 19 | İstanbulspor | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for İstanbulspor vs Manisa F.K.?
- The Footlab model makes İstanbulspor the favourite at 48%, against 24% for a draw and 27% for Manisa F.K..
- Where and when is İstanbulspor vs Manisa F.K. played?
- İstanbulspor vs Manisa F.K. is played on February 21, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Esenyurt Necmi Kadıoğlu Stadyumu, in the 1. Lig.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.