İstanbulspor vs Vanspor FK: prediction and stats
1. LigRegular Season - 22Kick-off on January 24, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Esenyurt Necmi Kadıoğlu Stadyumu, İstanbul
The Footlab model makes İstanbulspor the favourite at 56%, against 23% for a draw and 21% for Vanspor FK. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win İstanbulspor vs Vanspor FK?
A very open match: only 54 Elo points separate İstanbulspor (1,812) and Vanspor FK (1,758).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, İstanbulspor have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Vanspor FK have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Vanspor FK(away) | 2-3 | 1. Lig |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Bodrum FK(home) | 2-2 | 1. Lig |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Bandırmaspor(away) | 0-3 | 1. Lig |
| May 1, 2026 | Adana Demirspor(home) | 8-1 | 1. Lig |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Vanspor FK(away) | 3-1 | 1. Lig |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | İstanbulspor(home) | 3-2 | 1. Lig |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Manisa F.K.(away) | 1-4 | 1. Lig |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Kayserispor(home) | 0-2 | 1. Lig |
| May 1, 2026 | Hatayspor(away) | 1-3 | 1. Lig |
| Apr 25, 2026 | İstanbulspor(home) | 1-3 | 1. Lig |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 İstanbulspor win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Vanspor FK win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Vanspor FK 3-2 İstanbulspor | 1. Lig |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Vanspor FK 1-3 İstanbulspor | 1. Lig |
| Dec 21, 2025 | İstanbulspor 1-3 Vanspor FK | 1. Lig |
| Apr 13, 2014 | Vanspor FK 0-1 İstanbulspor | 3. Lig - Group 3 |
| Nov 24, 2013 | İstanbulspor 1-0 Vanspor FK | 3. Lig - Group 3 |
| Mar 17, 2013 | İstanbulspor 1-2 Vanspor FK | 3. Lig - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Vanspor FK vs İstanbulspor on Aug 23, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
İstanbulspor score 1.7 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Vanspor FK score 1.1 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| İstanbulspor | 1.7 | 1.6 | 1 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Vanspor FK | 1.1 | 1.8 | 2 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
İstanbulspor sit 19th in 1. Lig (1 points from 3 matches) and Vanspor FK sit 14th (3 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Vanspor FK | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 3 |
| 19 | İstanbulspor | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for İstanbulspor vs Vanspor FK?
- The Footlab model makes İstanbulspor the favourite at 56%, against 23% for a draw and 21% for Vanspor FK.
- Where and when is İstanbulspor vs Vanspor FK played?
- İstanbulspor vs Vanspor FK is played on January 24, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Esenyurt Necmi Kadıoğlu Stadyumu, in the 1. Lig.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.