Istaravshan vs Regar-TadAZ: prediction and stats
Vysshaya LigaRegular Season - 21Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Rodnik, Nay
The Footlab model makes Regar-TadAZ the favourite at 64%, against 23% for a draw and 13% for Istaravshan. The most likely score is 0-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Istaravshan vs Regar-TadAZ?
Regar-TadAZ starts as the favourite with a 258-point Elo edge (1,491 vs 1,233).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Istaravshan have 0 wins, 5 draws and 10 defeats; Regar-TadAZ have 10, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Khujand(home) | 0-2 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Khosilot Farkhor(away) | 2-5 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Jun 26, 2026 | Parvoz(home) | 1-1 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Jun 17, 2026 | Sardor Tursunzoda(home) | 1-1 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Jun 14, 2026 | Istiqlol(home) | 1-2 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2026 | Parvoz(home) | 3-0 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Maziya(away) | 3-0 | AFC Challenge League |
| Jun 28, 2026 | Ravshan(away) | 1-0 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Jun 14, 2026 | Sardor Tursunzoda(away) | 1-0 | Vysshaya Liga |
| May 16, 2026 | CSKA Pomir(away) | 2-1 | Vysshaya Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Istaravshan win(s), 0 draw(s), 5 Regar-TadAZ win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 18, 2025 | Regar-TadAZ 4-2 Istaravshan | Vysshaya Liga |
| Apr 14, 2025 | Istaravshan 2-4 Regar-TadAZ | Vysshaya Liga |
| Nov 10, 2024 | Regar-TadAZ 2-0 Istaravshan | Vysshaya Liga |
| Jun 23, 2024 | Istaravshan 0-1 Regar-TadAZ | Vysshaya Liga |
| Nov 20, 2022 | Regar-TadAZ 2-0 Istaravshan | Vysshaya Liga |
| Sep 10, 2022 | Regar-TadAZ 1-2 Istaravshan | Vysshaya Liga |
Last archived meeting: Regar-TadAZ vs Istaravshan on Sep 18, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Istaravshan score 0.8 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Regar-TadAZ score 1.6 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Istaravshan | 0.8 | 2.0 | 1 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
| Regar-TadAZ | 1.6 | 0.7 | 8 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Istaravshan sit 12th in Vysshaya Liga (5 points from 13 matches) and Regar-TadAZ sit 1st (30 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Regar-TadAZ | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 19 | 7 | 30 |
| 12 | Istaravshan | 13 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 24 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Istaravshan vs Regar-TadAZ?
- The Footlab model makes Regar-TadAZ the favourite at 64%, against 23% for a draw and 13% for Istaravshan.
- Where and when is Istaravshan vs Regar-TadAZ played?
- Istaravshan vs Regar-TadAZ is played on November 1, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Rodnik, in the Vysshaya Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.