Istaravshan vs Regar-TadAZ: prediction and stats
Vysshaya LigaRegular Season - 21Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Rodnik, Nay
The Footlab AI model makes Regar-TadAZ the favourite at 69%, against 21% for a draw and 10% for Istaravshan. The most likely score is 0-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,608 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Istaravshan vs Regar-TadAZ?
Regar-TadAZ starts as the favourite with a 285-point Elo edge (1,497 vs 1,212).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Istaravshan vs Regar-TadAZ
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Istaravshan
Not enough data to predict the Istaravshan lineup.
Regar-TadAZ
4-3-3- 88S. Mabatshoev
- 9E. Frimpong
- 90A. Ergashev
- 6D. Atsam
- 66A. Temirov
- 47S. Mahamadiev
- 27D. Imomnazarov
- 44J. Feumba
- 4B. Qalandarov
- 5O. Kassim
- 16A. Z. Rahmatov
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 05:05 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Istaravshan have 0 wins, 4 draws and 11 defeats; Regar-TadAZ have 11, 3 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | CSKA Pomir(home) | 0-1 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Eskhata(away) | 1-3 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Barki Tajik(home) | 1-4 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Khatlon(away) | 1-1 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Khujand(home) | 0-2 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Goa(away) | 2-1 | AFC Challenge League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Barki Tajik(home) | 2-0 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Khatlon(away) | 1-0 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Khujand(home) | 0-0 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Khosilot Farkhor(away) | 0-1 | Vysshaya Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Istaravshan win, 0 draws, 5 Regar-TadAZ wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 18, 2025 | Regar-TadAZ 4-2 Istaravshan | Vysshaya Liga |
| Apr 14, 2025 | Istaravshan 2-4 Regar-TadAZ | Vysshaya Liga |
| Nov 10, 2024 | Regar-TadAZ 2-0 Istaravshan | Vysshaya Liga |
| Jun 23, 2024 | Istaravshan 0-1 Regar-TadAZ | Vysshaya Liga |
| Nov 20, 2022 | Regar-TadAZ 2-0 Istaravshan | Vysshaya Liga |
| Sep 10, 2022 | Regar-TadAZ 1-2 Istaravshan | Vysshaya Liga |
Last archived meeting: Regar-TadAZ vs Istaravshan on Sep 18, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Istaravshan score 0.8 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Regar-TadAZ score 1.7 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 39% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Istaravshan | 0.8 | 2.1 | 0 | 11/15 | 7/15 |
| Regar-TadAZ | 1.7 | 0.5 | 9 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Istaravshan sit 12th in Vysshaya Liga (6 points from 18 matches) and Regar-TadAZ sit 1st (40 points from 18 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Regar-TadAZ | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 25 | 9 | 40 |
| 12 | Istaravshan | 18 | 0 | 6 | 12 | 15 | 36 | 6 |
A question about Istaravshan vs Regar-TadAZ?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Istaravshan vs Regar-TadAZ?
- The Footlab AI model makes Regar-TadAZ the favourite at 69%, against 21% for a draw and 10% for Istaravshan.
- Where and when is Istaravshan vs Regar-TadAZ played?
- Istaravshan vs Regar-TadAZ is played on November 1, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Rodnik, in the Vysshaya Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.