CSKA Pomir vs Istiqlol: prediction and stats
Vysshaya LigaRegular Season - 21Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Politekhnikum (CSKA MO RT), Dushanbe
The Footlab AI model makes Istiqlol the favourite at 63%, against 23% for a draw and 14% for CSKA Pomir. The most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,902 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 20, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win CSKA Pomir vs Istiqlol?
Istiqlol starts as the favourite with a 248-point Elo edge (1,706 vs 1,458).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for CSKA Pomir vs Istiqlol
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
CSKA Pomir
Not enough data to predict the CSKA Pomir lineup.
Istiqlol
5-4-1- 43P. Komolafe
- 8S. Haghnazari
- 11Muhammadjon Rahimov
- 17E. Panjshanbe
- 9R. Soirov
- 55M. Safarov
- 5S. Qurbonov
- 4M. Chobanov
- 95R. Turkaj
- 33Joseph Okoro
- 1N. Stosic
Computed on October 20, 2026 at 07:04 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, CSKA Pomir have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Istiqlol have 10, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Istaravshan(away) | 1-0 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Ravshan(home) | 0-3 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Eskhata(home) | 1-0 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Khatlon(home) | 1-1 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Khujand(away) | 1-1 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 2026 | Al Arabi(home) | 2-0 | AFC Challenge League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Al Nejmeh(away) | 0-1 | AFC Challenge League |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Khujand(away) | 0-1 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Khosilot Farkhor(home) | 1-0 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Parvoz(away) | 4-0 | Vysshaya Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 CSKA Pomir wins, 3 draws, 3 Istiqlol wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 11, 2025 | CSKA Pomir 3-3 Istiqlol | Vysshaya Liga |
| Apr 12, 2025 | Istiqlol 2-1 CSKA Pomir | Vysshaya Liga |
| Oct 30, 2024 | CSKA Pomir 1-2 Istiqlol | Vysshaya Liga |
| Jun 16, 2024 | Istiqlol 2-0 CSKA Pomir | Vysshaya Liga |
| Sep 10, 2023 | CSKA Pomir 0-0 Istiqlol | Vysshaya Liga |
| Apr 26, 2023 | Istiqlol 0-0 CSKA Pomir | Vysshaya Liga |
Last archived meeting: CSKA Pomir vs Istiqlol on Sep 11, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
CSKA Pomir score 1.2 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Istiqlol score 1.4 and concede 0.3. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CSKA Pomir | 1.2 | 0.9 | 7 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Istiqlol | 1.4 | 0.3 | 10 | 3/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
CSKA Pomir sit 4th in Vysshaya Liga (27 points from 17 matches) and Istiqlol sit 2nd (37 points from 17 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Istiqlol | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 23 | 6 | 37 |
| 4 | CSKA Pomir | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 19 | 20 | 27 |
A question about CSKA Pomir vs Istiqlol?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for CSKA Pomir vs Istiqlol?
- The Footlab AI model makes Istiqlol the favourite at 63%, against 23% for a draw and 14% for CSKA Pomir.
- Where and when is CSKA Pomir vs Istiqlol played?
- CSKA Pomir vs Istiqlol is played on November 1, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Politekhnikum (CSKA MO RT), in the Vysshaya Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.