Istiqlol vs Ahal: result 1-0 and analysis
AFC Champions League TwoGroup Stage - 1Kick-off on March 7, 2018 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Republican Central Stadium, Dushanbe
Full time
What was the result of Istiqlol vs Ahal?
Istiqlol won 1-0 on March 7, 2018.
Goalscorers
- 25′G. AnnagulyýewIstiqlol (o.g.)
Official lineup for Istiqlol vs Ahal
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Istiqlol
- 9N. Zenko
- 7S. Tikhonovskiy
- 13N. Babadzhanov
- 17Dilshod Vasiev
- 18F. Fatkhulloev
- 20A. Juraboev
- 21R. Dzhalilov
- 2Siyovush Asrorov
- 5A. Baranovskyi
- 19A. Nazarov
- 1N. Stošić
Ahal
- 9Suleyman Muhadow
- 7M. Annaýew
- 10Guvanch Abylov
- 14S. Orazow
- 18D. Hajyýew
- 21Ylyasov Wezirgeldi
- 77Merdan Gurbanov
- 2G. Annagulyýew
- 3G. Ashirov
- 26H. Hojovov
- 16O. Ovezmyradov
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Istiqlol have 11 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeat; Ahal have 3, 1 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 27, 2017 | Khosilot Farkhor(away) | 3-1 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Nov 25, 2017 | CSKA Pomir(home) | 2-0 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Nov 23, 2017 | Barki Tajik(away) | 2-0 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Nov 19, 2017 | Barki Tajik(home) | 2-2 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Nov 4, 2017 | Al Quwa Al Jawiya(home) | 0-1 | AFC Champions League Two |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2018 | Khujand(away) | 2-0 | AFC Champions League Two |
| Feb 13, 2018 | Khujand(home) | 1-0 | AFC Champions League Two |
| Jan 30, 2018 | Dordoi Bishkek(home) | 2-2 | AFC Champions League Two |
| Jan 23, 2018 | Dordoi Bishkek(away) | 3-1 | AFC Champions League Two |
How many goals should we expect?
Istiqlol score 2.6 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Ahal score 2.0 and concede 0.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Istiqlol | 2.6 | 0.8 | 8 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Ahal | 2.0 | 0.8 | 2 | 2/4 | 2/4 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Istiqlol vs Ahal?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy