Istiqlol vs Ahal: result 1-0 and analysis
AFC Champions League TwoGroup Stage - 1Kick-off on March 7, 2018 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Republican Central Stadium, Dushanbe
Full time
What was the result of Istiqlol vs Ahal?
Istiqlol won 1-0 on March 7, 2018.
Goalscorers
- 25′G. AnnagulyýewIstiqlol (o.g.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Istiqlol have 11 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeats; Ahal have 3, 1 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 27, 2017 | Khosilot Farkhor(away) | 3-1 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Nov 25, 2017 | CSKA Pomir(home) | 2-0 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Nov 23, 2017 | Barki Tajik(away) | 2-0 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Nov 19, 2017 | Barki Tajik(home) | 2-2 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Nov 4, 2017 | Al Quwa Al Jawiya(home) | 0-1 | AFC Champions League Two |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2018 | Khujand(away) | 2-0 | AFC Champions League Two |
| Feb 13, 2018 | Khujand(home) | 1-0 | AFC Champions League Two |
| Jan 30, 2018 | Dordoi Bishkek(home) | 2-2 | AFC Champions League Two |
| Jan 23, 2018 | Dordoi Bishkek(away) | 3-1 | AFC Champions League Two |
How many goals should we expect?
Istiqlol score 2.6 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Ahal score 2.0 and concede 0.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Istiqlol | 2.6 | 0.8 | 8 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Ahal | 2.0 | 0.8 | 2 | 2/4 | 2/4 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Istiqlol | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy