Istiqlol vs Bengaluru: result 1-0 and analysis
AFC Champions League TwoInter-zonal FinalsKick-off on September 27, 2017 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Republican Central Stadium, Dushanbe
Full time
What was the result of Istiqlol vs Bengaluru?
Istiqlol won 1-0 on September 27, 2017.
Goalscorers
- 27′D. BarkovIstiqlol
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Istiqlol have 12 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats; Bengaluru have 5, 1 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 18, 2017 | Panjsher(away) | 5-0 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Sep 12, 2017 | Ceres(away) | 1-1 | AFC Champions League Two |
| Aug 22, 2017 | Ceres(home) | 4-0 | AFC Champions League Two |
| Aug 14, 2017 | Regar-TadAZ(home) | 2-0 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Aug 3, 2017 | Khatlon(home) | 1-0 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 2017 | April 25(away) | 0-0 | AFC Champions League Two |
| Aug 23, 2017 | April 25(home) | 3-0 | AFC Champions League Two |
| May 31, 2017 | Maziya(home) | 1-0 | AFC Champions League Two |
| May 17, 2017 | Mohun Bagan(away) | 1-3 | AFC Champions League Two |
| May 3, 2017 | Abahani(away) | 0-2 | AFC Champions League Two |
How many goals should we expect?
Istiqlol score 2.9 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Bengaluru score 1.2 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Istiqlol | 2.9 | 0.5 | 8 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Bengaluru | 1.2 | 0.9 | 5 | 3/9 | 4/9 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Istiqlol | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy