Istres vs Chasselay MDA: prediction and stats
National 2 - Group CGroup C - 11Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stade Parsemain, Fos-sur-Mer
The Footlab AI model makes Istres the favourite at 40%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for Chasselay MDA. The most likely score is 1-1. If Istres wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,457 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Istres vs Chasselay MDA?
A very open match: only 39 Elo points separate Istres (1,769) and Chasselay MDA (1,808).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Istres vs Chasselay MDA
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Istres
Not enough data to predict the Istres lineup.
Chasselay MDA
Not enough data to predict the Chasselay MDA lineup.
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 01:57 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Istres have 2 wins, 8 draws and 5 defeats; Chasselay MDA have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2, 2026 | Chateauroux(home) | 0-0 | National 2 - Group C |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Limonest(away) | 1-1 | National 2 - Group C |
| Sep 12, 2026 | UF Touraine(home) | 0-0 | National 2 - Group C |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Hyères(away) | 0-3 | National 2 - Group C |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Hauts Lyonnais(home) | 1-2 | National 2 - Group C |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Lyon Duchere(home) | 2-0 | National 2 - Group C |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Fréjus St-Raphaël(away) | 4-2 | National 2 - Group C |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Canet Roussillon(home) | 2-2 | National 2 - Group C |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Bourges Foot 18(away) | 0-0 | National 2 - Group C |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Toulon(home) | 1-1 | National 2 - Group C |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Istres wins, 1 draw, 2 Chasselay MDA wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | Istres 1-2 Chasselay MDA | National 2 - Group C |
| Aug 16, 2025 | Chasselay MDA 1-0 Istres | National 2 - Group C |
| Mar 14, 2025 | Chasselay MDA 1-2 Istres | National 2 - Group A |
| Oct 18, 2024 | Istres 3-2 Chasselay MDA | National 2 - Group A |
| Jan 4, 2014 | Chasselay MDA 2-2 Istres | Coupe de France |
Last archived meeting: Istres vs Chasselay MDA on May 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Istres score 0.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Chasselay MDA score 1.4 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Istres | 0.9 | 1.1 | 6 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Chasselay MDA | 1.4 | 1.3 | 4 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Istres sit 14th in National 2 - Group C (4 points from 6 matches) and Chasselay MDA sit 4th (9 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Chasselay MDA | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 5 | 9 |
| 14 | Istres | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 4 |
A question about Istres vs Chasselay MDA?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Istres vs Chasselay MDA?
- The Footlab AI model makes Istres the favourite at 40%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for Chasselay MDA.
- Where and when is Istres vs Chasselay MDA played?
- Istres vs Chasselay MDA is played on December 5, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Parsemain, in the National 2 - Group C.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.