Istres vs Limonest: prediction and stats
National 2 - Group CGroup C - 17Kick-off on February 13, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stade Parsemain, Fos-sur-Mer
The Footlab model makes Istres the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 25% for Limonest. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Istres vs Limonest?
A very open match: only 59 Elo points separate Istres (1,759) and Limonest (1,700).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Istres have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Limonest have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Troyes II(away) | 0-0 | National 2 - Group C |
| May 16, 2026 | Chasselay MDA(home) | 1-2 | National 2 - Group C |
| May 9, 2026 | Nimes(away) | 0-3 | National 2 - Group C |
| May 1, 2026 | Creteil(home) | 0-0 | National 2 - Group C |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Grasse(away) | 2-2 | National 2 - Group C |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Hyères(away) | 2-2 | National 2 - Group C |
| May 16, 2026 | Nimes(home) | 2-3 | National 2 - Group C |
| May 9, 2026 | Creteil(away) | 0-2 | National 2 - Group C |
| May 2, 2026 | Grasse(home) | 1-3 | National 2 - Group C |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Bobigny(away) | 2-1 | National 2 - Group C |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Istres win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Limonest win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | Istres 0-1 Limonest | National 2 - Group C |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Limonest 1-4 Istres | National 2 - Group C |
How many goals should we expect?
Istres score 1.0 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Limonest score 1.5 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Istres | 1.0 | 1.2 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Limonest | 1.5 | 1.7 | 3 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Istres sit 11th in National 2 - Group C (1 points from 1 matches) and Limonest sit 5th (1 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Limonest | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 11 | Istres | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Istres vs Limonest?
- The Footlab model makes Istres the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 25% for Limonest.
- Where and when is Istres vs Limonest played?
- Istres vs Limonest is played on February 13, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Parsemain, in the National 2 - Group C.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.