Andrézieux vs Fréjus St-Raphaël: prediction and stats
National 2 - Group CGroup C - 17Kick-off on February 13, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)L'Envol Stadium, Andrézieux-Bouthéon
The Footlab model makes Andrézieux the favourite at 59%, against 22% for a draw and 19% for Fréjus St-Raphaël. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Andrézieux vs Fréjus St-Raphaël?
Andrézieux starts as the favourite with a 100-point Elo edge (1,811 vs 1,711).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Andrézieux have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Fréjus St-Raphaël have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bourges Foot 18(away) | 1-1 | National 2 - Group C |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Grenoble(home) | 3-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Clermont Foot(away) | 1-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 16, 2026 | Rousset-Ste Victoire(home) | 6-3 | National 2 - Group C |
| May 9, 2026 | Chasselay MDA(away) | 0-0 | National 2 - Group C |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Saint-Priest(home) | 3-0 | National 2 - Group C |
| May 16, 2026 | Grasse(home) | 1-0 | National 2 - Group C |
| May 9, 2026 | Bobigny(away) | 0-1 | National 2 - Group C |
| May 2, 2026 | Toulon(home) | 0-1 | National 2 - Group C |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Saint-Priest(home) | 0-0 | National 2 - Group C |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Andrézieux win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Fréjus St-Raphaël win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2026 | Fréjus St-Raphaël 1-1 Andrézieux | National 2 - Group C |
| Oct 31, 2025 | Andrézieux 1-1 Fréjus St-Raphaël | National 2 - Group C |
| Apr 11, 2025 | Andrézieux 2-0 Fréjus St-Raphaël | National 2 - Group A |
| Nov 23, 2024 | Fréjus St-Raphaël 1-0 Andrézieux | National 2 - Group A |
| Apr 6, 2024 | Andrézieux 0-2 Fréjus St-Raphaël | National 2 - Group A |
| Nov 11, 2023 | Fréjus St-Raphaël 0-0 Andrézieux | National 2 - Group A |
Last archived meeting: Fréjus St-Raphaël vs Andrézieux on Mar 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Andrézieux score 2.2 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Fréjus St-Raphaël score 1.1 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrézieux | 2.2 | 1.4 | 3 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Fréjus St-Raphaël | 1.1 | 1.4 | 4 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Andrézieux sit 6th in National 2 - Group C (1 points from 1 matches) and Fréjus St-Raphaël sit 2nd (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Fréjus St-Raphaël | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 6 | Andrézieux | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Andrézieux vs Fréjus St-Raphaël?
- The Footlab model makes Andrézieux the favourite at 59%, against 22% for a draw and 19% for Fréjus St-Raphaël.
- Where and when is Andrézieux vs Fréjus St-Raphaël played?
- Andrézieux vs Fréjus St-Raphaël is played on February 13, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at L'Envol Stadium, in the National 2 - Group C.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.