Italy U20 vs Portugal U20: prediction and stats
U20 Elite LeagueGroup StageKick-off on November 12, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Elías Figueroa Brander, Valparaíso
The Footlab model makes Portugal U20 the favourite at 51%, against 23% for a draw and 26% for Italy U20. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Italy U20 vs Portugal U20?
A very open match: only 37 Elo points separate Italy U20 (1,593) and Portugal U20 (1,630).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Italy U20 have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Portugal U20 have 11, 4 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2026 | England U20(home) | 3-3 | Friendlies |
| Nov 17, 2025 | Germany U20(away) | 0-5 | U20 Elite League |
| Nov 14, 2025 | Portugal U20(home) | 1-2 | U20 Elite League |
| Oct 9, 2025 | United States U20(away) | 0-3 | World Cup - U20 |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Argentina U20(away) | 0-1 | World Cup - U20 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 13, 2026 | Tunisia U23(home) | 2-0 | Tournoi Maurice Revello |
| Jun 11, 2026 | Canada U20(home) | 6-1 | Tournoi Maurice Revello |
| Jun 8, 2026 | Venezuela U20(away) | 3-1 | Tournoi Maurice Revello |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Côte d'Ivoire U20(home) | 0-0 | Tournoi Maurice Revello |
| Jun 3, 2026 | Japan U20(away) | 4-1 | Tournoi Maurice Revello |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Italy U20 win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Portugal U20 win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2025 | Italy U20 1-2 Portugal U20 | U20 Elite League |
| Oct 14, 2024 | Portugal U20 1-1 Italy U20 | U20 Elite League |
| Nov 21, 2023 | Italy U20 2-1 Portugal U20 | U20 Elite League |
| Sep 23, 2022 | Portugal U20 1-2 Italy U20 | U20 Elite League |
| Oct 12, 2021 | Italy U20 1-1 Portugal U20 | U20 Elite League |
Last archived meeting: Italy U20 vs Portugal U20 on Nov 14, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Italy U20 score 1.4 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Portugal U20 score 2.2 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Italy U20 | 1.4 | 2.0 | 2 | 8/15 | 12/15 |
| Portugal U20 | 2.2 | 0.7 | 5 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Italy U20 vs Portugal U20?
- The Footlab model makes Portugal U20 the favourite at 51%, against 23% for a draw and 26% for Italy U20.
- Where and when is Italy U20 vs Portugal U20 played?
- Italy U20 vs Portugal U20 is played on November 12, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Elías Figueroa Brander, in the U20 Elite League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.