Portugal U20 vs Poland U20: prediction and stats
U20 Elite LeagueGroup StageKick-off on September 25, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Nacional, Jamor, Oeiras
The Footlab model makes Portugal U20 the favourite at 64%, against 20% for a draw and 16% for Poland U20. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Portugal U20 vs Poland U20?
Portugal U20 starts as the favourite with a 132-point Elo edge (1,630 vs 1,498).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Portugal U20 have 11 wins, 4 draws and 0 defeats; Poland U20 have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 13, 2026 | Tunisia U23(home) | 2-0 | Tournoi Maurice Revello |
| Jun 11, 2026 | Canada U20(home) | 6-1 | Tournoi Maurice Revello |
| Jun 8, 2026 | Venezuela U20(away) | 3-1 | Tournoi Maurice Revello |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Côte d'Ivoire U20(home) | 0-0 | Tournoi Maurice Revello |
| Jun 3, 2026 | Japan U20(away) | 4-1 | Tournoi Maurice Revello |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2026 | Germany U20(home) | 0-1 | U20 Elite League |
| Mar 27, 2026 | Romania U20(away) | 1-0 | U20 Elite League |
| Nov 14, 2025 | Czechia U20(away) | 4-1 | U20 Elite League |
| Oct 13, 2025 | Switzerland U20(home) | 4-1 | U20 Elite League |
| Sep 9, 2025 | Portugal U20(home) | 1-2 | U20 Elite League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Portugal U20 win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Poland U20 win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 9, 2025 | Poland U20 1-2 Portugal U20 | U20 Elite League |
| Sep 9, 2024 | Portugal U20 2-1 Poland U20 | U20 Elite League |
| Sep 8, 2023 | Poland U20 4-0 Portugal U20 | U20 Elite League |
| Sep 27, 2022 | Poland U20 3-1 Portugal U20 | U20 Elite League |
| Sep 7, 2021 | Portugal U20 0-0 Poland U20 | U20 Elite League |
Last archived meeting: Poland U20 vs Portugal U20 on Sep 9, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Portugal U20 score 2.2 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Poland U20 score 1.6 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portugal U20 | 2.2 | 0.7 | 5 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Poland U20 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 3 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Portugal U20 vs Poland U20?
- The Footlab model makes Portugal U20 the favourite at 64%, against 20% for a draw and 16% for Poland U20.
- Where and when is Portugal U20 vs Poland U20 played?
- Portugal U20 vs Poland U20 is played on September 25, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Nacional, in the U20 Elite League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.