Italy vs Costa Rica: result 0-1 and analysis
World CupGroup stage - 2Kick-off on June 20, 2014 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Olimpico, Roma
Full time
What was the result of Italy vs Costa Rica?
Costa Rica won 0-1 on June 20, 2014.
Goalscorers
- 44′Bryan Jafet Ruiz GonzálezCosta Rica
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Italy have 5 wins, 7 draws and 3 defeats; Costa Rica have 1, 0 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 14, 2014 | England(away) | 2-1 | World Cup |
| Jun 30, 2013 | Uruguay(away) | 4-4 | Confederations Cup |
| Jun 27, 2013 | Spain(away) | 0-0 | Confederations Cup |
| Jun 22, 2013 | Brazil(home) | 2-4 | Confederations Cup |
| Jun 19, 2013 | Japan(home) | 4-3 | Confederations Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 14, 2014 | Uruguay(away) | 3-1 | World Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Italy score 1.6 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Costa Rica score 3.0 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Italy | 1.6 | 1.7 | 3 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
| Costa Rica | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0 | 1/1 | 1/1 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy