Ituano vs AO Itabaiana: result 3-1 and analysis
Serie DQuarter-finalsKick-off on July 13, 2019 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Municipal Dr. Novelli Júnior, Itu, São Paulo
Full time
What was the result of Ituano vs AO Itabaiana?
Ituano won 3-1 on July 13, 2019.
Goalscorers
- 14′Rodrigo AngelottiItuano
- 42′Luiz PauloAO Itabaiana
- 44′MarquinhoItuano
- 76′Rodrigo AngelottiItuano
Official lineup for Ituano vs AO Itabaiana
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Ituano
- MMarquinho
- CClaudio Pereira da Silva Junior
- PPaulinho Dias
- CCarlos Rodrigues Corrêa
- MMarcos Serrato
- LLéo Rigo
- RRodrigo Angelotti
- PPacheco
- AAlessandro Silva de Araújo
- MMateus Silva
- PPegorari
AO Itabaiana
- IIla
- LLuiz Paulo
- JJefferson Barbosa da Silva
- DDionathan Pinho Roxo
- AAurelio
- RRonald
- DDandan
- RRenato dos Santos
- HHugo
- RRosilberto dos Santos
- AAndrade
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ituano have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; AO Itabaiana have 9, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 6, 2019 | Vitória ES(home) | 2-1 | Serie D |
| Jun 30, 2019 | Vitória ES(away) | 0-0 | Serie D |
| Jun 23, 2019 | Caldense(away) | 2-0 | Serie D |
| Jun 16, 2019 | Caldense(home) | 2-1 | Serie D |
| Jun 9, 2019 | Uniao Trabalhadores(away) | 0-1 | Serie D |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 6, 2019 | Fluminense De Feira(home) | 2-0 | Serie D |
| Jun 30, 2019 | Fluminense De Feira(away) | 1-0 | Serie D |
| Jun 22, 2019 | ASA(home) | 4-1 | Serie D |
| Jun 16, 2019 | ASA(away) | 0-2 | Serie D |
| Jun 9, 2019 | Aparecidense(away) | 2-0 | Serie D |
How many goals should we expect?
Ituano score 1.2 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; AO Itabaiana score 1.4 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ituano | 1.2 | 0.5 | 8 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
| AO Itabaiana | 1.4 | 1.1 | 6 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy