Ituano vs Caxias: result 2-1 and analysis
Serie DRegular Season - 4Kick-off on July 2, 2016 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Municipal Dr. Novelli Júnior, Itu, São Paulo
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What was the result of Ituano vs Caxias?
Ituano won 2-1 on July 2, 2016.
Goalscorers
- 7′Welington SimiãoItuano
- 19′Igor HenriqueItuano
- 75′Jarbas Jardim FernandesCaxias
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 13 matches in all competitions, Ituano have 7 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats; Caxias have 2, 5 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 26, 2016 | Caxias(away) | 1-3 | Serie D |
| Jun 18, 2016 | Metropolitano(away) | 2-0 | Serie D |
| Jun 12, 2016 | Maringá(home) | 4-0 | Serie D |
| Oct 3, 2014 | Moto Club(away) | 0-1 | Serie D |
| Sep 28, 2014 | Moto Club(home) | 1-0 | Serie D |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 26, 2016 | Ituano(home) | 3-1 | Serie D |
| Jun 19, 2016 | Maringá(away) | 0-3 | Serie D |
| Jun 12, 2016 | Metropolitano(home) | 2-1 | Serie D |
| Sep 27, 2015 | Guarani Campinas(away) | 3-5 | Serie C |
| Sep 20, 2015 | Portuguesa(home) | 1-2 | Serie C |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Ituano win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Caxias win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 26, 2016 | Caxias 3-1 Ituano | Serie D |
How many goals should we expect?
Ituano score 1.4 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 13; Caxias score 1.1 and concede 1.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ituano | 1.4 | 0.9 | 5 | 5/13 | 5/13 |
| Caxias | 1.1 | 1.9 | 1 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 13 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy