Ituano vs Paysandu: result 3-1 and analysis
Serie CPromotion Round - 3Kick-off on October 16, 2021 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Municipal Dr. Novelli Júnior, Itu, São Paulo
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What was the result of Ituano vs Paysandu?
Ituano won 3-1 on October 16, 2021.
Goalscorers
- 7′MarlonPaysandu (pen.)
- 12′Matheus ManciniItuano
- 35′Gérson MagrãoItuano
- 90′João VictorItuano
Official lineup for Ituano vs Paysandu
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Ituano
- TTiago Marques
- IIago Teles
- MMário Sérgio
- GGérson Magrão
- IIgor Henrique
- JJ. Jiménez
- KKaio Mendes
- PPacheco
- MMatheus Mancini
- MMateus Silva
- PPegorari
Paysandu
- RRildo
- DDanrlei
- MMarino da Silva
- WWillian Fazendinha
- MMarlon
- LLeandro Silva
- PPerema
- DDenílson
- DDiego Matos
- PPaulo Roberto da Silva
- VVictor Souza
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ituano have 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats; Paysandu have 6, 6 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2021 | Criciuma(home) | 0-2 | Serie C |
| Oct 2, 2021 | Botafogo PB(away) | 1-0 | Serie C |
| Sep 25, 2021 | Botafogo SP(home) | 0-0 | Serie C |
| Sep 19, 2021 | Ypiranga-RS(away) | 0-0 | Serie C |
| Sep 11, 2021 | Oeste(home) | 2-1 | Serie C |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2021 | Botafogo PB(home) | 0-0 | Serie C |
| Oct 3, 2021 | Criciuma(away) | 0-0 | Serie C |
| Sep 25, 2021 | Manaus FC(home) | 2-0 | Serie C |
| Sep 18, 2021 | Altos(away) | 3-2 | Serie C |
| Sep 13, 2021 | Ferroviario(away) | 1-5 | Serie C |
How many goals should we expect?
Ituano score 1.2 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Paysandu score 1.2 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ituano | 1.2 | 0.7 | 7 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Paysandu | 1.2 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ituano sit 15th in Serie C (22 points from 19 matches) and Paysandu sit 4th (4 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | PaysanduGroup A | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 4 |
| 15 | ItuanoFirst stage | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 18 | 21 | 22 |
A question about Ituano vs Paysandu?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy