Itumbiara vs Rioverdense: prediction and stats
Goiano - 3Regular Season - 5Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Gilmar Alves de Oliveira, Bom Jesus de Goiás
The Footlab AI model makes Itumbiara the favourite at 44%, against 22% for a draw and 34% for Rioverdense. The most likely score is 1-1. If Itumbiara wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Itumbiara vs Rioverdense?
A very open match: only 14 Elo points separate Itumbiara (1,330) and Rioverdense (1,316).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Itumbiara vs Rioverdense
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Itumbiara
4-3-3- WWallace
- RRodrigo Porto
- LLorran
- LLéo Índio
- WWalter Cristovam Gonçalves Teixeira
- CCaio Ferraz
- PPH
- TThiago de Souza da Silva
- LLucas Anselmo de Sena Matos
- AArthur Sanches
- AAlberto Rafael da Silva
Rioverdense
Not enough data to predict the Rioverdense lineup.
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 01:52 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Itumbiara have 1 win, 1 draw and 13 defeats; Rioverdense have 1, 0 and 14.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Royal(away) | 0-1 | Goiano - 3 |
| Nov 15, 2025 | Rioverdense(home) | 2-1 | Goiano - 3 |
| Nov 9, 2025 | Pires do Rio(away) | 2-10 | Goiano - 3 |
| Nov 2, 2025 | Bom Jesus EC(home) | 0-8 | Goiano - 3 |
| Oct 24, 2025 | ABD FC(away) | 0-7 | Goiano - 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Novo Horizonte(away) | 1-4 | Goiano - 3 |
| Nov 15, 2025 | Itumbiara(away) | 1-2 | Goiano - 3 |
| Nov 10, 2025 | Aparecida GO(home) | 1-3 | Goiano - 3 |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Santa Helena(away) | 1-5 | Goiano - 3 |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Crixás EC(home) | 0-2 | Goiano - 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Itumbiara wins, 1 draw, 0 Rioverdense wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2025 | Itumbiara 2-1 Rioverdense | Goiano - 3 |
| Sep 21, 2024 | Itumbiara 1-0 Rioverdense | Goiano - 3 |
| Aug 17, 2024 | Rioverdense 0-0 Itumbiara | Goiano - 3 |
Last archived meeting: Itumbiara vs Rioverdense on Nov 15, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Itumbiara score 0.7 and concede 3.5 goals per match over their last 15; Rioverdense score 0.7 and concede 3.3. The model gives a 75% probability of over 2.5 goals and 74% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Itumbiara | 0.7 | 3.5 | 0 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Rioverdense | 0.7 | 3.3 | 1 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Itumbiara vs Rioverdense?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Itumbiara vs Rioverdense?
- The Footlab AI model makes Itumbiara the favourite at 44%, against 22% for a draw and 34% for Rioverdense.
- Where and when is Itumbiara vs Rioverdense played?
- Itumbiara vs Rioverdense is played on November 7, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Gilmar Alves de Oliveira, in the Goiano - 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 75% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.