Match

Iwaki vs Jubilo Iwata: prediction and stats

J2 LeagueRegular Season - 13Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 06:00 AM (UTC)Hawaiians Stadium Iwaki, Iwaki

IwakiJubilo Iwata

The Footlab AI model makes Iwaki the favourite at 37%, against 29% for a draw and 34% for Jubilo Iwata. The most likely score is 1-1. If Iwaki wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,772 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Iwaki vs Jubilo Iwata?

A very open match: only 10 Elo points separate Iwaki (1,838) and Jubilo Iwata (1,828).

37%29%34%
Iwaki winDrawJubilo Iwata win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Iwaki vs Jubilo Iwata

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Iwaki

4-3-3
  1. 38N. Kumata
  2. 9Y. Michiwaki
  3. 11T. Kato
  1. 14D. Yamaguchi
  2. 13K. Fujii
  3. 10R. Nishitani
  1. 35S. Fukaminato
  2. 22Y. Takahashi
  3. 5T. Kuwata
  4. 15H. Nakano
  1. 23M. Sasaki

Jubilo Iwata

4-3-3
  1. 23T. Inui
  2. 99João Victor
  3. 31Iago Teles
  1. 47D. Sato
  2. 18S. Inoue
  3. 15Yuri Lara
  1. 2Danilo Cardoso
  2. 30K. Yamazaki
  3. 29K. Kuwabara
  4. 36R. Yoshimura
  1. 16A. Niekawa

Computed on October 18, 2026 at 04:54 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Iwaki have 6 wins, 0 draws and 9 defeats; Jubilo Iwata have 6, 2 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Iwaki
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 18, 2026Ventforet Kofu(home)5-0J2 League
Oct 11, 2026Blaublitz Akita(home)1-0J2 League
Oct 7, 2026Sanfrecce Hiroshima(away)0-4Emperor Cup
Oct 4, 2026Consadole Sapporo(away)1-2J2 League
Sep 26, 2026Vegalta Sendai(home)0-2J2 League
Jubilo Iwata
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 17, 2026Tegevajaro Miyazaki(away)1-1J2 League
Oct 14, 2026Kawasaki Frontale(home)0-4J-League Cup
Oct 10, 2026Consadole Sapporo(home)1-0J2 League
Oct 4, 2026Vegalta Sendai(away)1-2J2 League
Sep 29, 2026JEF United Chiba(home)4-2J-League Cup

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Iwaki wins, 2 draws, 2 Jubilo Iwata wins.

DateScoreCompetition
May 2, 2026Jubilo Iwata 1-1 IwakiJ2/J3 League
Mar 29, 2026Iwaki 1-0 Jubilo IwataJ2/J3 League
Aug 10, 2025Iwaki 3-1 Jubilo IwataJ2 League
May 17, 2025Jubilo Iwata 2-0 IwakiJ2 League
Jul 29, 2023Iwaki 0-1 Jubilo IwataJ2 League
May 21, 2023Jubilo Iwata 1-1 IwakiJ2 League

Last archived meeting: Jubilo Iwata vs Iwaki on May 2, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Iwaki score 1.3 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Jubilo Iwata score 1.3 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Iwaki1.31.646/158/15
Jubilo Iwata1.31.439/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Iwaki sit 8th in J2 League (15 points from 11 matches) and Jubilo Iwata sit 11th (14 points from 11 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
8Iwaki11506181715
11Jubilo Iwata11425131414

A question about Iwaki vs Jubilo Iwata?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Iwaki vs Jubilo Iwata?
The Footlab AI model makes Iwaki the favourite at 37%, against 29% for a draw and 34% for Jubilo Iwata.
Where and when is Iwaki vs Jubilo Iwata played?
Iwaki vs Jubilo Iwata is played on October 25, 2026 at 06:00 AM (UTC) at Hawaiians Stadium Iwaki, in the J2 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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