Izarra vs Mutilvera: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 15Group 15 - 27Kick-off on March 21, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Merkatondoa, Estella (Lizarra)
The Footlab AI model makes Izarra the favourite at 62%, against 22% for a draw and 16% for Mutilvera. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,422 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Izarra vs Mutilvera?
Izarra starts as the favourite with a 123-point Elo edge (1,924 vs 1,801).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Izarra vs Mutilvera
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Izarra
Not enough data to predict the Izarra lineup.
Mutilvera
Not enough data to predict the Mutilvera lineup.
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 07:57 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Izarra have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Mutilvera have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Pamplona(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Cortes(away) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Beti Kozkor(home) | 4-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Bidezarra(away) | 4-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | San Juan(home) | 4-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | San Juan(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Cirbonero(away) | 4-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Avance Ezcabarte(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Valle Egüés(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Gazte Berriak(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Izarra wins, 2 draws, 1 Mutilvera win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 29, 2025 | Mutilvera 3-3 Izarra | Friendlies Clubs |
| Mar 17, 2024 | Izarra 2-1 Mutilvera | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Nov 4, 2023 | Mutilvera 1-0 Izarra | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 1, 2023 | Mutilvera 1-1 Izarra | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Nov 20, 2022 | Izarra 1-0 Mutilvera | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Feb 6, 2022 | Izarra 2-0 Mutilvera | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Izarra score 2.3 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Mutilvera score 0.9 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Izarra | 2.3 | 1.0 | 5 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Mutilvera | 0.9 | 1.7 | 5 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Izarra sit 1st in Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 (18 points from 6 matches) and Mutilvera sit 2nd (14 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Izarra | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 3 | 18 |
| 2 | Mutilvera | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 14 |
A question about Izarra vs Mutilvera?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Izarra vs Mutilvera?
- The Footlab AI model makes Izarra the favourite at 62%, against 22% for a draw and 16% for Mutilvera.
- Where and when is Izarra vs Mutilvera played?
- Izarra vs Mutilvera is played on March 21, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Merkatondoa, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 15.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.